2021
DOI: 10.1192/bjp.2021.115
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Predicting persistence of hallucinations from childhood to adolescence

Abstract: Summary Background Psychotic experiences predict adverse health outcomes, particularly if they are persistent. However, it is unclear what distinguishes persistent from transient psychotic experiences. Aims In a large population-based cohort, we aimed to (a) describe the course of hallucinatory experiences from childhood to adolescence, (b) compare characteristics of youth with persistent and remittent hallucinatory experiences, and (c) examine prediction models for persistence.… Show more

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Cited by 16 publications
(11 citation statements)
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“… 11 13 Most studies examine cross-sectional estimates of PLEs, although research has examined persistence of PLEs. 12 , 14 23 Previous research indicates that persistent PLEs are associated with subsequent onset of psychotic disorders. 11 , 19 The level of distress elicited by PLEs may also distinguish clinically-relevant PLEs, 13 , 24 27 including predicting transition from clinical high-risk to psychotic disorders.…”
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confidence: 99%
“… 11 13 Most studies examine cross-sectional estimates of PLEs, although research has examined persistence of PLEs. 12 , 14 23 Previous research indicates that persistent PLEs are associated with subsequent onset of psychotic disorders. 11 , 19 The level of distress elicited by PLEs may also distinguish clinically-relevant PLEs, 13 , 24 27 including predicting transition from clinical high-risk to psychotic disorders.…”
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confidence: 99%
“…Several recent studies reported on the persistence of PEs among children and adolescents (e.g. Karcher et al, 2021; Steenkamp et al, 2021). However, since risk factors and expression of PE differs between this young age group and adults [e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Despite a number of known risk factors, in a recent scoping review, Kalman et al ( 2019 ) failed to find any consistent evidence of risk factors for recurring PE. Modelling techniques to develop predictive models of recurring v. transient PE found a similar limitation using current known risk factors (AUC = 0.66, 7.4% of variance, Sensitivity = 68.8%; Specificity = 54.4%) (Steenkamp et al, 2021 ), although the model did differentiate recurring PE from control.…”
Section: Objectivesmentioning
confidence: 97%