2018
DOI: 10.7554/elife.34463
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Predicting the likelihood and intensity of mosquito infection from sex specific Plasmodium falciparum gametocyte density

Abstract: Understanding the importance of gametocyte density on human-to-mosquito transmission is of immediate relevance to malaria control. Previous work (Churcher et al., 2013) indicated a complex relationship between gametocyte density and mosquito infection. Here we use data from 148 feeding experiments on naturally infected gametocyte carriers to show that the relationship is much simpler and depends on both female and male parasite density. The proportion of mosquitoes infected is primarily determined by the densi… Show more

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Cited by 108 publications
(155 citation statements)
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“…Whether the differences between studies result from variation in parasite thermal sensitivity between strains, or other factors, is not known. Our data, together with those of Bradley et al 52 and Pathak et al . 53 , suggest variation in gametocyte densities between feeds/hosts could mediate the effects of temperature on parasite establishment (i.e.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 90%
“…Whether the differences between studies result from variation in parasite thermal sensitivity between strains, or other factors, is not known. Our data, together with those of Bradley et al 52 and Pathak et al . 53 , suggest variation in gametocyte densities between feeds/hosts could mediate the effects of temperature on parasite establishment (i.e.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 90%
“…For this purpose, significant efforts have been made to develop new molecular tools to detect and estimate more precisely the gametocyte densities for both males and females. It is interesting to note that these methods have also significantly improved the prediction of mosquito infection rates (19). Nevertheless, a significant level of uncertainty remains.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A mosquito blood meal represents a volume of 1.5 to 4μl on average (17, 18) and it needs to contain at least one gametocyte (sexual stage) of both sexes to result in malaria infection. Although the shape of the relationship between gametocyte densities measured in the human blood and the probability or the intensity of mosquito infection is not always clear, the likelihood of mosquito infection seems to be mainly dictated by gametocyte density (19, 20). Therefore, the number of gametocytes in human blood is frequently used as an indicator of human-to-mosquito transmission potential (2123).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…[27, 28], and so, attempts to fertilise senesced females may "waste" males [29]. In this scenario, 257 parasite evolution is shaped by processes operating in the vector.…”
Section: Onwards Transmission Is Determined By Time-of-day Of Both Pamentioning
confidence: 99%