Predicting the market potential of plug-in electric vehicles using multiday GPS data

Khan, Mobashwir; Kockelman, Kara M.

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2012.03.055

Cited by 129 publications

(55 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…Several papers deal with PHEV-related subjects, including, but not limited to, range requirement analysis (Pearre et al, 2011;Franke and Krems, 2013), PHEV impacts on the electricity network (Sioshansi and Miller, 2011;Nurre et al, 2014;Arslan and Karaşan, 2013;Galus et al, 2010;Weiller, 2011;Axsen et al, 2011), battery capacity analysis (Albertus et al, 2008;Catenacci et al, 2013;Scrosati and Garche, 2010), environmental impacts (Stephan and Sullivan, 2008;Smith, 2010;Marshall et al, 2013), market analysis (Gardner et al, 2013;Khan and Kockelman, 2012;Axsen and Kurani, 2013;Eppstein et al, 2011) and location optimization of recharging infrastructure (He et al, 2013;Wang and Lin, 2009;MirHassani and Ebrazi, 2012). A summary of recent studies in the literature related to the economics of PHEVs is presented in Table 1.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of battery characteristics, driver preferences and road network features on travel costs of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) for long-distance trips

Arslan¹,

Yıldız²,

Karaşan³

2014

Energy Policy

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We investigate the travel costs of CVs, HEVs and PHEVs for long-distance trips. We analyze the impacts of battery, driver and road network characteristics on the costs. We provide critical managerial insights to shape the investment decisions about PHEVs. Drivers' stopping intolerance may hamper the cost and emission benefits of PHEVs. Negative effect of intolerance on cost may be overcome by battery capacity expansion. a r t i c l e i n f o b s t r a c tIn a road network with refueling and fast charging stations, the minimum-cost driving path of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) depends on factors such as location and availability of refueling/fast charging stations, capacity and cost of PHEV batteries, and driver tolerance towards extra mileage or additional stopping. In this paper, our focus is long-distance trips of PHEVs. We analyze the impacts of battery characteristics, often-overlooked driver preferences and road network features on PHEV travel costs for long-distance trips and compare the results with hybrid electric and conventional vehicles. We investigate the significance of these factors and derive critical managerial insights for shaping the future investment decisions about PHEVs and their infrastructure. In particular, our findings suggest that with a certain level of deployment of fast charging stations, well established cost and emission benefits of PHEVs for the short range trips can be extended to long distance. Drivers' stopping intolerance may hamper these benefits; however, increasing battery capacity may help overcome the adverse effects of this intolerance.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of battery characteristics, driver preferences and road network features on travel costs of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) for long-distance trips

Arslan¹,

Yıldız²,

Karaşan³

2014

Energy Policy

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show abstract

“…Examples of such studies can be found in Pearre et al [22] and Needell et al for North-American statistics [23]; and Pasaoglu et al [24] and Corchero et al [25] for European variants. These different sources confirm that most of the daily range needs are in the 0 to 80 km range, while ranges exceeding 150 km/day are found to occur only on a limited number of days per year, i.e., for only 5 percent of the daily trips [26,27]. An exemplary distribution of the daily driven distances is given in Figure 1.…”

mentioning

confidence: 62%

In-Life Range Modularity for Electric Vehicles: The Environmental Impact of a Range-Extender Trailer System

et al. 2018

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Abstract:Purpose: In the light of decarbonizing the passenger car sector, several technologies are available today. In this paper, we distinguish plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV), electric vehicles (EV) with a modest battery capacity of 40 kWh, and long-range EVs with 90 kWh installed. Given that the average motorist only rarely performs long-distance trips, both the PHEV and the 90 kWh EV are considered to be over-dimensioned for their purpose, although consumers tend to perceive the 40 kWh EV's range as too limiting. Therefore, in-life range modularity by means of occasionally using a range-extender trailer for a 40 kWh EV is proposed, based on either a petrol generator as a short-term solution or a 50 kWh battery pack. Method: A life cycle assessment (LCA) is presented for comparing the different powertrains for their environmental impact, with the emphasis on local air quality and climate change. Therefore, the combination of a 40 kWh EV and the trailer options is benchmarked with a range of conventional cars and EVs, differentiated per battery capacity. Next, the local impact per technology is discussed on a well-to-wheel base for the specific situation in Belgium, with specific attention given to the contribution of non-exhaust emissions of PM due to brake, tyre, and road wear. Results: From a life cycle point of view, the trailer concepts outperform the 90 kWh EV for the discussed midpoint indicators as the latter is characterized by a high manufacturing impact and by a mass penalty resulting in higher contributions to non-exhaust PM formation. Compared to a petrol PHEV, both trailers are found to have higher contributions to diminished local air quality, given the relatively low use phase impact of petrol combustion. Concerning human toxicity, the impact is proportional to battery size, although the battery trailer performs better than the 90 kWh EV due to its occasional application rather than carrying along such high capacity all the time. For climate change, we see a clear advantage of both the petrol and the battery trailer, with reductions ranging from one-third to nearly sixty percent, respectively. Conclusion: Whereas electrified powertrains have the potential to add to better urban air quality, their life cycle impact cannot be neglected as battery manufacturing remains a substantial contributor to the EV's overall impact. Therefore, in-life range modularity helps to reduce this burden by offering an extended range only when it is needed. This is relevant to bridge the years up until cleaner battery chemistries break through, while the energy production sector increases the implementation of renewables. Petrol generator trailers are no long-term solution but should be seen as an intermediate means until battery technology costs have further dropped to make it economically feasible to commercialize battery trailer range-extenders. Next, active regulation is required for non-exhaust PM emissions as they could dominate locally in the future if more renewables would be applied in the electrici...

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“…Cost comparisons between the PHEV and conventional gasoline vehicle were conducted and the annual savings were given. 29 The reduction that a PHEV provides in both transportation costs and GHG emissions with respect to a comparable conventional vehicle was also discussed. 30 Smart and Schey 31 analysed the Nissan Leaf, which is a BEV, and concluded that the drivers drove 6.9 miles per trip, 30.3 miles per day on average and the average number of charging times was 1.05 per day, as well as 82% of charging events were conducted at home.…”

Section: Pev Market Potential Demand and Behaviour Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Electric vehicles: A review of network modelling and future research needs

Jing

Yan

Kim

et al. 2016

Advances in Mechanical Engineering

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Electric vehicles are believed to be an effective solution for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Despite extensive study on the attributes and characteristics of electric vehicles and their charging infrastructure design, the development and network modelling of electric vehicles are still evolving and limited. This article provides a comprehensive review of electric vehicle studies and identifies existing research gaps in the aspects of theories, modelling approaches, solution algorithms and applications. This article first describes the electric vehicles' concepts, market share, characteristics and charging infrastructures. Then, the studies on traffic assignment problem with electric vehicles in the network and limited charging facilities are particularly discussed. We conclude that it is of great importance to take into account electric vehicles' special characteristics (e.g. range limit) in predicting their routing behaviour and charging infrastructure design networks.

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Predicting the market potential of plug-in electric vehicles using multiday GPS data

Cited by 129 publications

References 13 publications

Impacts of battery characteristics, driver preferences and road network features on travel costs of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) for long-distance trips

Impacts of battery characteristics, driver preferences and road network features on travel costs of a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) for long-distance trips

In-Life Range Modularity for Electric Vehicles: The Environmental Impact of a Range-Extender Trailer System

Electric vehicles: A review of network modelling and future research needs

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