2015
DOI: 10.13005/bbra/1814
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Predicting the Phase State of the Abundance Dynamics of Harmful Non-gregarious Locusts in Northern Kazakhstan and Substantiation of Protective Measures

Abstract: The paper presents research results in the field of long-term forecasting of the phase state of the harmful non-gregarious locusts of Northern Kazakhstan. The major predictors of pests' phase state were developed based on modeling of their long-term abundance dynamics. Analyzing longstanding data of external factors (weather conditions and the area of chemical treatments) affecting the abundance dynamics of phytophaga, authors calculated the coefficients of regression equation. This may be one of the key facto… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Calliptamus italicus is widely distributed on the desert and semidesert steppes of Central Asia and peripheral regions (Huang and Cheng 1999). In recent years, serious outbreaks of C. italicus have occurred in western Russia (Azhbenov et al 2015) and southeastern Kazakhstan, and the border regions adjacent to Xinjiang of China have seen frequent migrations of C. italicus (Baybussenov et al 2014, 2015). In this study, the collection sites of C. italicus have covered the Sino-Kazakh border areas; however, in-depth studies are still needed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Calliptamus italicus is widely distributed on the desert and semidesert steppes of Central Asia and peripheral regions (Huang and Cheng 1999). In recent years, serious outbreaks of C. italicus have occurred in western Russia (Azhbenov et al 2015) and southeastern Kazakhstan, and the border regions adjacent to Xinjiang of China have seen frequent migrations of C. italicus (Baybussenov et al 2014, 2015). In this study, the collection sites of C. italicus have covered the Sino-Kazakh border areas; however, in-depth studies are still needed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since the natural and climatic data of North Kazakhstan are considered the most optimal environment for the spread and harmfulness of all locust species [Kambulin, 2018], including nongregarious species [Baibussenov et al, 2015], four regions of North Kazakhstan were selected and covered as the research area, namely, the Akmola, Pavlodar, Kostanay, and North Kazakhstan regions. The analyses were carried out for the period 1999-2021.…”
Section: Area Of the Studymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…They damage grains, legumes, forage crops, and pasture lands [Kambulin, 2018]. According to the conducted observations [Baibussenov et al, 2015], in recent years there has been an increase in the number of these phytophages and pest infestation exceeding the economic harmfulness threshold (above 10 individuals per 1 sq. m) has been observed in many grain crops of North Kazakhstan.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the factors contradicting the conservation of biodiversity and ensuring phytosanitary safety is massive pesticide treatments used against locust pests as the only method of crop protection in cases of exacerbation of the phytosanitary situation (Baibussenov et al, 2014). Despite the annually carried out massive treatments against locusts, nowhere is the phytosanitary situation as critical as in arid and subarid zones, which occupy most of the territory of Kazakhstan (Kurishbaev and Azhbenov, 2013;Baybussenov et al, 2015;Azhbenov et al, 2015).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%