2021
DOI: 10.15244/pjoes/135612
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Prediction and Control Model of Carbon Emissions from Thermal Power Based on System Dynamics

Abstract: Thermal power is the main part in China's energy structure of power industry. Because of huge carbon emissions and relatively high energy consumption, thermal power has been listed as an important industry for energy conservation and emission reduction. Therefore, the growth rate, carbon emissions growth peak and developing trend of China's thermal power are modeled and simulated based on System Dynamics. With three scenarios set up, so as to explore the impact of the economic development, optimization of powe… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(2 citation statements)
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References 24 publications
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“… Carbon emission trading - Green tradable certificate - sustainable development - profit margin Increasing investment in renewable electricity development technologies not only leads to a significant profit margin for electric companies but also improves access to sustainable development goals at the national level. [ 28 ] Simulation and study of the development process, growth rate, and carbon emission of thermal power plants Development of thermal power plants - CO2 emission - economic development There is a significant positive relationship between economic development and carbon emissions of thermal power plants [ 29 ] Examining the role of low-carbon or carbon-negative technologies, focusing on the social costs of carbon. Energy mix in electricity production - CO2 emissions - Social cost of carbon In a range of carbon social costs (0–500), the optimal energy mix includes 75 % of renewable energies.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“… Carbon emission trading - Green tradable certificate - sustainable development - profit margin Increasing investment in renewable electricity development technologies not only leads to a significant profit margin for electric companies but also improves access to sustainable development goals at the national level. [ 28 ] Simulation and study of the development process, growth rate, and carbon emission of thermal power plants Development of thermal power plants - CO2 emission - economic development There is a significant positive relationship between economic development and carbon emissions of thermal power plants [ 29 ] Examining the role of low-carbon or carbon-negative technologies, focusing on the social costs of carbon. Energy mix in electricity production - CO2 emissions - Social cost of carbon In a range of carbon social costs (0–500), the optimal energy mix includes 75 % of renewable energies.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The prediction of energy demand is a method that needs to analyse and process the known data, excavate its potential laws, and then achieve the method of predicting future data [3]. At present, there are many theories and methods used for prediction, and scholars at home and abroad have also done some research.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%