Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change

Shadloo, Shabnam; Mahmoodi, Shirin; Hosseinzadeh, Mahboubeh Sadat; Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi

doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2020.104416

Cited by 7 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 38 publications

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“…Changes in the spatial and temporal pattern of climate may lead to changes in the geographical distribution of rare and endangered species, thus threatening their original habitats [14,15]. Therefore, a systematic verification of the geographical distribution pattern of rare and endangered species under climate change scenarios can effectively protect the habitat of rare and endangered species as well as the authenticity of ecological system [16].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

et al. 2022

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Pteroceltis tatarinowii (Pteroceltis: Ulmaceae) is a deciduous tree that has a cultivation history of more than 2000 years in China. As an excellent afforestation tree species and rare and endangered tertiary relic plant, P. tatarinowii has high ecological protection value. Due to the forest destruction caused by predatory logging and natural environmental factors, the population of P. tatarinowii in China has decreased significantly. In this study, the potential geographical distribution of P. tatarinowii in China under climate change was predicted using MaxEnt model and ArcGIS based on 223 effective distribution points of P. tatarinowii and 11 environmental variables. The results showed that: (1) the prediction accuracy of MaxEnt model was extremely high, and the areas under curve (AUC) value of the training data was 0.936; The area of the potential suitable habitat area of P. tatarinowii under current climate condition was 180.84×104 km2, and mainly located in the central and southeast regions of China. (2) The domain environmental variables affecting the potential geographical distribution of P. tatarinowii were min temperature of coldest month (12.1~22.7°C), isothermality (26.6~35.8), mean diurnal range 6.9~9.3°C and precipitation of wettest month (189.5 ~955.5 mm). (3) In 2050s and 2070s, compared with current (4.19×104 km2), the area of highly suitable habitat will increase by 0.2%-0.3% (RCP2.6) and 1.22%-3.84% (RCP8.5) respectively. while the poorly, moderately and total suitable habitats will decrease. The gravity center of P. tatarinowii showed a trend of migration to higher latitudes and northern regions in the future. These results will provide theoretical basis for cultivation management and resource protection of P. tatarinowii.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

et al. 2022

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“…The soil affects the distribution of YM directly or indirectly. Soil impacts the distribution of plants (Sanaei et al 2019;Scherrer and Guisan 2019), which might indirectly influence the distribution of some habitat-specialist animals. Because YM spends considerable time under the ground for refuge or food, it has manifold interactions with soil properties.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We used a set of environmental variables consisting of climatic, topographic, habitat, and disturbance data (Jones et al 2020;Shadloo et al 2021) as described in the literature, and soil-related information because the species is an actively burrowing animal, to model the potential distribution of YM in Nepal (Table S1). Nineteen bioclimatic variables were downloaded from CHELSA Climatologies ver 2.1 (Karger et al 2017).…”

Section: Coarse Fragment Volumetricmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Only a few instances of studies have shown that monitor lizards are vulnerable to climate change, with an expected reduction in the distribution of monitor lizards (Jones et al . 2020) or suitable habitat under the protected areas system (Shadloo et al . 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, monitor lizards, a group of large-bodied lizards, are poorly studied in the context of climate and land cover change and their impact. Only a few instances of studies have shown that monitor lizards are vulnerable to climate change, with an expected reduction in the distribution of monitor lizards (Jones et al 2020) or suitable habitat under the protected areas system (Shadloo et al 2021). A detailed understanding of the impact of climate change on the taxa is important to plan for preventive measures to ensure the species cope with global changes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The potential distribution of the yellow monitor, Varanus flavescens (Hardwick & Gray) under multiple climate, land cover and dispersal scenarios in Nepal

Baral

Kunwar²,

Adhikari³

et al. 2023

Wildlife Res.

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Human-induced changes in climate and land cover have altered the distribution of fauna around the globe. Some reptiles have been found to be vulnerable to these changes; therefore, studies to identify the impact of the changes on other groups of reptiles are necessary. Aims. We aimed to study the impact of climate and land cover change on the yellow monitor (Varanus flavescens) in Nepal. We also aimed to identify the current distribution range and predict the potential distribution under multiple climate change, corresponding land cover change, and dispersion scenarios in the near-and mid-future. Methods. We used available presence locations with a candidate set of the least-correlated environmental variables and an Ensemble of Small Models (ESM), a Species Distribution Model (SDM) approach suitable for species with small sample size. Additionally, dispersal scenarios of 1 km, 5 km, and 10 km were added to the model to determine the future distribution under the dispersal scenarios. Key results. We found soil particle size, distance to forest, precipitation of wettest quarter, bulk density, and elevation were the five most important variables contributing to the distribution of the species. The Terai lowland and wide valleys in Outer Himalayas are currently suitable but are expected to experience a substantial decrease under most future climate projections and dispersal scenarios. Conclusions. The distribution is mostly dependent on soil-related variables; however, climatic variables might have a greater impact on future suitability. Implications. Limiting emissions contributing to climatic changes, conserving the soil outside the protected areas, and the potential areas where the species will not experience habitat loss might contribute to the conservation of the species.

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Assessing the vulnerability of wintering habitats for the red-listed Asian Houbara (Chlamydotis macqueenii) using climate models and human impact assessments

William,

Saqib,

Qadir

et al. 2025

Avian Research

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Prediction of habitat suitability for the desert monitor (Varanus griseus caspius) under the influence of future climate change

Cited by 7 publications

References 38 publications

Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios

The potential distribution of the yellow monitor, Varanus flavescens (Hardwick & Gray) under multiple climate, land cover and dispersal scenarios in Nepal

Assessing the vulnerability of wintering habitats for the red-listed Asian Houbara (Chlamydotis macqueenii) using climate models and human impact assessments

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