Prediction of runoff in the upper Yangtze River based on CEEMDAN-NAR model

Zhang, Xianqi; Zheng, Zhiwen; Wang, Kai

doi:10.2166/ws.2021.121

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…In addition, the snails frequently choose appropriate low-lying regions for their survival. The anticipated rise in heavy rainfall due to global warming [57] could potentially cause snails upstream to migrate towards the drier northeast, while snails in the middle and lower parts of the stream may move towards the less rainy northwest. Hence, it is plausible that the observed migration patterns are primarily influenced by the collective impact of temperature, precipitation, and elevation.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of Schistosoma Intermediate Host Oncomelania Hupensis in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China Using MaxEnt

Li,

Guo,

Jiang

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Oncomelania Hupensis is the exclusive intermediary host of Schistosoma japonicum in China. The alteration of its habitat and population distribution directly affects the safety of millions of individuals residing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), and the ecological stability. Therefore, it is crucial to analyse the influence of climate change on the distribution of O. Hupensis in order to achieve accurate control over its population. This study utilised the MaxENT model to forecast possible snail habitats by utilising snail distribution data obtained from historical literature. The subsequent outcomes were achieved: The primary ecological factors influencing the distribution of O. Hupensis are elevation, minimum temperature of coldest month, and precipitation of wettest month; Furthermore, future climate scenarios indicate a decrease in the distribution area and a northward shift of the distribution centre for O. hupensis; Specifically, those in the upstream will move northeast, while those in the midstream and downstream will move northwest; These changes in suitable habitat area, the average migration distance of distribution centers across different climate scenarios, time periods, and sub-basins within the YREB, resulting in uncertainty. This study offers theoretical justification for the prevention and control of O. hupensis along the YREB.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of Schistosoma Intermediate Host Oncomelania Hupensis in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China Using MaxEnt

Li,

Guo,

Jiang

et al. 2024

Preprint

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“…ber and area of glacial lakes in the Kunlun Mountains, with increases of 39.25% 81.35%, respectively, compared to 2000 [10]. The area of surface water bodies has al nificantly increased, with the size of permanent water bodies expanding by 71.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…From 2000 to 2014, glaciers on the eastern northern slope of the Kunlun Mountains thinned overall, with the greatest thinning (36.50 m) occurring at elevations between 4000 and 4200 m, resulting in a glacier volume reduction of 1.28 km 3 [9]. Recent observations show an increase in both the number and area of glacial lakes in the Kunlun Mountains, with increases of 39.25% and 81.35%, respectively, compared to 2000 [10]. The area of surface water bodies has also significantly increased, with the size of permanent water bodies expanding by 71.03% ± 27.73% and the area of seasonal water bodies increasing by 170.63% ± 17.50% [11].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Precipitation Changes on the Northern Slope of the Kunlun Mountains in the Past 42 Years

Xia,

Chen,

Zhang

et al. 2024

Water

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The precipitation on the northern slope of the Kunlun Mountains significantly impacts the green economy of the Tarim Basin’s southern edge. Observations have noted an expansion of the surface water area in this region, though the reasons for this are not yet fully understood. Due to limited instrumental data, this study leverages field measurements from the third Xinjiang comprehensive expedition and multiple gridded datasets. Through trend analysis and a geographical detector model, it examines the precipitation’s decadal, interannual, and seasonal variations across key areas (Hotan River Basin, Keriya River Basin, Qarqan River Basin, and Kumukuli Basin), identifying factors behind the spatial and temporal distribution of regional precipitation. The findings reveal the following: (1) An increase in annual precipitation across the region from 187.41 mm in the 1980s to 221.23 mm in the early 21st century, at a rate of 10.21 mm/decade, with the most significant rise in the eastern Kunlun-Kumukuli Basin. (2) Precipitation exhibits clear seasonal and spatial patterns, predominantly occurring in spring and summer, accounting for 90.27% of the annual total, with a general decrease from the mountains towards downstream areas. (3) Rising average annual temperatures contribute to an unstable atmospheric structure and increased water-holding capacity, facilitating precipitation. Significant influences on precipitation changes include the North Atlantic Oscillation and solar flux, explaining 43.98% and 31.21% of the variation, respectively.

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“…Therefore, it is of great significance to analyze the characteristics and changes in rainfall [15,16]. In the 21st century, global rainfall and extreme rainfall are increasing [17][18][19]. Especially in the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, the intensity and frequency of rainfall have increased significantly.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Design Rainfall Change of Rainwater Source Control Facility to Meet Future Scenarios in Beijing

Wang

Zhao²,

Zhang

et al. 2023

IJERPH

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Rainwater source control facilities are essential to sponge city construction in China. Their size is determined based on historical rainfall data. However, with global warming and rapid urban development, rainfall characteristics have also changed, potentially leading to the failure of rainwater source- control facilities to manage surface water in the future. In this study, the design rainfall’s change and spatial distribution are analyzed using historical (1961–2014) observation rainfall data and future (2020–2100) projection data of three CMIP6 climate models. The results show that EC-Earth3 and GFDL-ESM4 project that future design rainfall will increase. EC-Earth3 projects a significant increase, while MPI-ESM1-2 projects that the design rainfall will decrease significantly. From the perspective of space, the design rainfall isoline in Beijing has always increased from northwest to southeast. In the historical period, the difference in design rainfall in different regions has reached 19 mm, and this regional heterogeneity shows an increasing trend in the future projection of EC-Earth3 and GFDL-ESM4. The difference in design rainfall in different regions is 26.2 mm and 21.7 mm, respectively. Therefore, it is necessary to consider future rainfall changes in the design of rainwater source control facilities. The relationship curve between the volume capture ratio (VCR) of annual rainfall and design rainfall based on the rainfall data of the project site or region should be analyzed to determine the design rainfall of the rainwater source control facilities.

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Prediction of runoff in the upper Yangtze River based on CEEMDAN-NAR model

Cited by 12 publications

References 11 publications

Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of <em>Schistosoma</em> Intermediate Host <em>Oncomelania Hupensis </em>in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China Using MaxEnt

Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of <em>Schistosoma</em> Intermediate Host <em>Oncomelania Hupensis </em>in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China Using MaxEnt

Precipitation Changes on the Northern Slope of the Kunlun Mountains in the Past 42 Years

Design Rainfall Change of Rainwater Source Control Facility to Meet Future Scenarios in Beijing

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