Prediction of the Integrated Indicator of Quality of a New Object Under the Conditions of Multicollinearity of Reference Data

Akhlyustin, S.B.; Владимирович, Мельников Александр; Zhilin, R.A.

doi:10.14529/mmp200406

Cited by 4 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…В результате были получены следующие ответы [11]: − общее количество пресеченных административных правонарушений; − общее количество пресеченных административных правонарушений, выявленных службами и подразделениями, задействованными в охране общественного порядка; − количество составленных протоколов о направлении на медицинское освидетельствование на состояние опьянения; − взыскаемость по наложенным административным штрафам; − количество вынесенных решений по делам об административных правонарушениях судебными органами о прекращении производства по делу за отсутствием состава либо события административного правонарушения. Таким образом, графическая обработка именно этих показателей административной практики за период с 2014 года на обслуживаемой территории, позволит должностному лицу, ответственному за организацию охраны общественного порядка провести качественный и количественный анализ административной деятельности на обслуживаемой территории, что будет способствовать формированию положительной вневедомственной оценки о деятельности полиции, зависящей от мнения населения [12,13].…”

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The task of developing a decision support system for calculating departmental assessment of police administrative activities

Zhilin,

Nikulin,

Lazarev

2024

Vestn. Dagest. gos. teh. univ., Teh. nauki

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Objective. The purpose of this work is to develop a decision support system in the form of a computer program «Calculation of departmental assessment of administrative activities of the police» based on the algorithm for statistical analysis of data from the «1-AP» report, which allows in an inclusive form (for example, graphically) to track the dynamics of key indicators, contained in the «1-AP» report for officials of internal affairs bodies responsible for maintaining public order.Method. The problem of objective contradiction between the indicators of departmental criteria for assessing the administrative activities of the internal affairs bodies of the Russian Federation and non-departmental assessment of the activities of territorial bodies of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia has been identified. In order to resolve it, it is proposed to take into account the number of identified administrative offenses as an additional indicator of departmental assessment of law enforcement in public places, assessing their growth as a positive characteristic. To identify the quantitative component of this indicator, it is necessary to analyze the dynamics of the data contained in the «1-AP» statistical reporting form.Result. The developed computer program implements: summary and grouping of information from the statistical forms of the «1-AP» report for the entire period of validity of Order No. 179 of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia; analysis and forecasting of time series, adjusted according to various informative indicators of administrative practice; formation of diagrams for graphical analysis of trends in the phenomena being studied.Conclusion. The developed decision support system in the form of a computer program is an effective means of implementing information and communication technologies in the activities of internal affairs bodies. Users of this system will be officials of internal affairs bodies responsible for organizing the protection of public order, as well as cadets and adjuncts studying in legal specialties.

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The task of developing a decision support system for calculating departmental assessment of police administrative activities

Zhilin,

Nikulin,

Lazarev

2024

Vestn. Dagest. gos. teh. univ., Teh. nauki

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“…Собираются данные от экспертов, включающие их оценки и предпочтения по заданной проблеме. Оценки могут быть числовыми или категориальными, в зависимости от характера проблемы [13,14,15].…”

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Express - a method of forming a representative expert coalition based on an extended correlation matrix

Zhilin

2023

Vestn. Dagest. gos. teh. univ., Teh. nauki

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Objective. The aim of the study is to develop an effective express method for the formation of a representative expert coalition based on the analysis of correlations between expert opinions.Method. It is proposed to use an extended correlation matrix, which takes into account not only the strength of the correlation between the experts’ ratings, but also the average value of the ratings for the entire set of highly qualified specialists. This matrix will take into account the diversity of opinions and preferences of highly qualified specialists, as well as provide a high degree of representativeness in making collective decisions.Result. Verification of the obtained results was carried out on the example of polls of police officers in relation to violators of security systems. A significant number of various calculations determines the implementation of the developed numerical method using a computer. This express method is a useful tool for the rapid and efficient formation of representative expert coalitions and decision-making based on the opinions of a large number of highly qualified specialists.Conclusion. The proposed method can be applied in various scientific and technical fields, such as expert systems, multi-criteria decision making, risk assessment, and other situations where it is necessary to combine the opinions of a large number of experts.

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Development of logical and mathematical models for making managerial decisions in complex organizational systems for special purposes

Sumin

Mel'nikov²,

Antsiferova

et al. 2023

Modeling of Systems and Processes

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This article discusses the problem of making managerial decisions by employees when using complex organizational systems for special purposes. In order to make effective management decisions by employees in complex organizational systems for special purposes, it is necessary to develop the structure of this system, to adapt the mathematical models of the set of goals to real goals-processes, to the choice of alternative management decisions for intermediate goals of such systems. It is advisable to adhere to the following approach "a solution is a multi-layered iterative information process initiated by a problem situation, preceding the action." When developing cognitive mathematical models (CMM) for managerial decision-making (CMP), we will assume that the target settings (TA) are homogeneous and should be based on the basic principles of construction (COSSN) of a complex organizational structure for special purposes. The signs of the classification of managerial decisions and the stages of the process of making managerial decisions are given: analysis, forecasting, optimization and choice of alternatives. PUR when functioning in the SSSN is important for all employees who, constantly or periodically act as managers (curators, organizers, management entities). The network model of the CSSSN in the form of graph G is developed based on the requirements for the functioning of this system as a technology for the adoption of SD.

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Prediction of the Integrated Indicator of Quality of a New Object Under the Conditions of Multicollinearity of Reference Data

Cited by 4 publications

References 4 publications

The task of developing a decision support system for calculating departmental assessment of police administrative activities

The task of developing a decision support system for calculating departmental assessment of police administrative activities

Express - a method of forming a representative expert coalition based on an extended correlation matrix

Development of logical and mathematical models for making managerial decisions in complex organizational systems for special purposes

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