2019
DOI: 10.1080/01900692.2019.1575664
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Predictive Policing: Review of Benefits and Drawbacks

Abstract: This literature review illuminates the conceptualization of predictive policing, and also its potential and realized benefits and drawbacks. The review shows a discrepancy between the considerable attention for potential benefits and drawbacks of predictive policing in the literature, and the empirical evidence that is available. The empirical evidence provides little support for the claimed benefits of predictive policing. Whereas some empirical studies conclude that predictive policing strategies lead to a d… Show more

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Cited by 182 publications
(129 citation statements)
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References 28 publications
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“…Et system, der skulle kunne give en matematisk forudsigelse af, hvor og blandt hvem forbrydelser sandsynligvis vil bryde ud (Meijer, 2019). Et parallelt eksempel fra Danmark er de såkaldte Socioøkonomiske Referencerammer, der skal angive, hvordan en skoles elever praesterer i forhold til, hvad der kunne forventes på baggrund af deres foraeldres sociale og økonomiske status (uvm.2020).…”
Section: B Dystopierunclassified
“…Et system, der skulle kunne give en matematisk forudsigelse af, hvor og blandt hvem forbrydelser sandsynligvis vil bryde ud (Meijer, 2019). Et parallelt eksempel fra Danmark er de såkaldte Socioøkonomiske Referencerammer, der skal angive, hvordan en skoles elever praesterer i forhold til, hvad der kunne forventes på baggrund af deres foraeldres sociale og økonomiske status (uvm.2020).…”
Section: B Dystopierunclassified
“…der von Expert*innen befürchteten Nachteile. 59 PP-Modelle sind in aller Regel schon deswegen kaum evaluierbar, da nicht erfüllte Prognosen immer sowohl einem Effekt des Einschreitens als auch einem Fehler der Prognose zuschreibbar sind. Die Schwierigkeiten in der Evaluierung lassen auch an der Ernsthaftigkeit der Beteuerungen von Ressourceneinsparung und Effizienzsteigerung zweifeln, die oftmals mit der Einführung von PP einhergehen.…”
Section: Was Ist Predictive Policing?unclassified
“…On the other hand, Meijer and Wessels (2019) conclude that the current thrust of predictive policing initiatives is based on convincing arguments and anecdotal evidence rather than on systematic empirical research, and urge the research community to do independent tests of both positive and negative expectations to generate an evidence base for predictive policing. While that Belur and Johnson (2018) suggest that while crime analysis is acknowledged as being central to the business of everyday policing, the capabilities are being underutilization.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%