Object-In this investigation the authors attempted to predict change in function following selective dorsal rhizotomy (SDR) and intensive physical therapy in patients with spastic diplegic cerebral palsy (CP) based on multidomain preintervention measures.Methods-Data pertaining to 22 children with CP were collected before the SDR and again 20 months afterward. Although equations for predicting change in gait speed and function (such as the Gross Motor Function Measure) were derived, the 95% confidence interval (CI) widths were too broad to make accurate predictions that were clinically useful outside the study group.Conclusions-Future work should be focused on developing additional measures such as lowerextremity motor control and balance in an attempt to reduce the CIs to more clinically relevant values. Keywords cerebral palsy; gait spasticity; strength; rhizotomy; predictive measure; pediatric neurosurgery Selective dorsal rhizotomy is a surgical procedure used to treat patients with CP that involves partial sensory deafferentation at the L1-S2 levels. 22 The effectiveness of the surgery has been reported in randomized 19,28,30 and nonrandomized 8 clinical studies. Despite the evidence of its effectiveness, it is important to note that variability exists within the patient groups and not all patients exhibit the same degree of improvement from the SDR. For example, although in one patient in our investigation the GMFM score improved from 75% preoperatively to 86% at 20 months postoperatively (an 11-point improvement), the GMFM score in another patient changed from 73% preoperatively to 72% at 20 months postoperatively (a one-point decrease). 8 Relative to gait speed, one patient's speed improved from 61 cm/second preoperatively to 121 cm/second at 20 months postoperatively (a 60-cm/second improvement), whereas another patient's gait speed changed from 109 cm/second preoperatively to 102 cm/second at 20 months postoperatively (a 7-cm/second decrease).Being able to predict preoperatively which patients will have the greatest improvements in GMFM, gait speed, or some other outcome measure would be extremely valuable for them and Address reprint requests to: Jack R. Engsberg, Ph.D., Department of Physical Therapy, 3437 Caroline Street, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, Missouri 63104. email: E-mail: jengsber@slu.edu. their parents when considering the SDR. Previously, authors of two investigations have attempted to predict postoperative outcomes based on preoperative data. 2,16 Chicoine and colleagues 2 attempted to predict walking ability after SDR using a series of preoperative variables (subjective gait score, dorsiflexion ability, and diagnosis). The results of their multivariate regression analysis indicated that gait score and diagnosis (spastic diplegia or quadriplegia) had significant predictive capability, explaining 78% of the variance in predicting the postoperative gait score. Despite the large amount of explained variance in their patients, the investigators were hesitant to suggest that the...