“…Previous studies have indicated that the Potts model is an accurate predictor of “prevalence” in HIV proteins [ 20 , 21 , 23 , 32 – 36 ]; “prevalence” is often used as a proxy for “fitness” with covariation models serving as a natural extension for measures of “fitness” based on experiments and model predictions have been compared to different experimental measures of “fitness” with varying degrees of success [ 1 , 21 , 23 , 28 , 32 , 34 , 36 ]. Site-independent models, devoid of interactions between sites have also been reported to capture experimentally measured fitness well, in particular for viral proteins [ 1 , 31 ] with studies (on HIV Nef and protease) implying that the dominant contribution to the Potts model predicted sequence statistical energy comes from site-wise “field” parameters h i (see Methods ) in the model [ 28 , 36 ]. In this study, we show that interaction between sites is necessary to capture the higher order (beyond pairwise) mutational landscape of HIV proteins for functionally relevant sites, such as those involved in engendering drug resistance, and cannot be predicted by a site-independent model.…”