Presidents, Governors, and Electoral Accountability

Simon, Dennis M.

doi:10.2307/2131342

Cited by 59 publications

(56 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…The literature on gubernatorial elections (for example, Atkeson and Partin 1995;Simon, Ostrom, and Marra 1991;Simon 1989;Svoboda 1995;Niemi, Stanley, and Vogel 1995;Leyden and Borelli 1995) and presidential popularity (for example, Brace and Hinckley 1991;Kernell 1978;Kinder 1981;Ostrom and Simon 1985;MacKuen, Erikson, and Stimson 1992) both tend to emphasize the impact of institutional and structural features and political and economic conditions and to downplay the impact of the personalities of the chief executives involved. 1 Nevertheless, some presidents and governors are simply more popular than others, even when the political and economic contexts in which they operate are similar.…”

Section: The Relationship Between Gubernatorial Motives and Approvalmentioning

confidence: 99%

American Governors and their Constituents: The Relationship between Gubernatorial Personality and Public Approval

Barth

Ferguson

2002

State Politics Policy Q.

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Public approval is an important tool for chief executives. It helps predict their re-election success and it may translate into greater legislative and administrative policy success. Does a governor's personality influence his or her public approval? We address this question by examining the effects of three gubernatorial motives-affiliationintimacy, achievement, and power-on public approval. We hypothesize that governors who are especially motivated by affiliation-intimacy will be more successful with the public. However, we find that governors motivated by a desire for power have greater public approval, while the affiliation-intimacy motive is unrelated to approval. Furthermore, the achievement motive is negatively related to approval in our data. We contrast these results with our earlier findings that a combination of power and achievement motives leads to gubernatorial success in the legislative arena. It appears that personality is important in determining gubernatorial success with both the public and the legislature, but in decidedly different ways.Does a state governor's personality influence his or her public approval and, if so, how? Elsewhere, we found that governors' personalities are important in shaping their success in state legislatures (Ferguson and Barth 2002), suggesting that previous studies of gubernatorial leadership may have been distinctly underspecified. Breaking with research that emphasizes institutional and structural factors (Bernick and Wiggins 1991;Crew 1992;Gross 1991;Herzik and Wiggins 1989;Thompson 1987), we showed that governors' personalities matter even when other political, economic, and institutional factors are considered. Employing the theory and methodology of David G. Winter (1987), we examined how three gubernatorial motives-power, achievement, and affiliation-intimacy-helped shape governors' success in the legislative arena. We found that governors with a combination of high power and achievement motives were significantly more likely to get what they wanted from their state legislatures. The third motive, affiliation-intimacy, was found to have no significant impact on gubernatorial success in

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Section: The Relationship Between Gubernatorial Motives and Approvalmentioning

confidence: 99%

American Governors and their Constituents: The Relationship between Gubernatorial Personality and Public Approval

Barth

Ferguson

2002

State Politics Policy Q.

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“…The president's coattails extended to the state legislative level, although the effect was minimal in less competitive states (Campbell 1986). Individuals, furthermore, alter their vote for governor based on their evaluation of the president's performance in office (Simon 1989). In fact, aggregate outcomes at the subnational level are shaped significantly by the president's level of public support and change in approval and the occurrence of dramatic political events (Simon, Ostrom, and Marra 1991).…”

Section: Electionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The State of State Politics Research

Brace

Jewett

1995

Political Research Quarterly

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Reviewers of the state of state politics research often lament the field's lack of theoretical progress and its fragmented character These conditions persist yet a review of this research published in the professions top journals over the past decade reveals a substantively rich and often methodologically sophisticated body of scholarship. Applying an inclusive approach, this essay examines all research published on state politics over the last decade in the profession's six top journals: APSR, AJPS, JOP, PRQ Polity and SSQ. Trends in substantive focus and the findings of this research are described, as are methodological approaches and innovations. The study takes stock of the progress the field has made and identifies promising avenues for future inquiry. The subfield could advance by emphasizing its unique comparative analytical advantages. These advantages provide an excellent opportunity to evaluate the impact of institutional and environmental contexts on political behavior, processes and outcomes. The field needs to emphasize the importance of modeling political behavior across contexts, and interactively across contextual and individual levels of analysis. By so doing, the subfield can show how states matter and also assess the generality of models that focus too often on behavior or process within single contexts.Reviews of the state politics subfield typically deplore the field's lack of progress and complain about the disunity in approaches and subject matter that characterize the field's research. On one level, this review departs from that tradition. Studies appearing in the professioris top journals make clear that there has been notable progress in the study of state politics over the past decade. Those laboring in the field have contributed to knowledge about state politics including the interplay of states within a national setting, the effects NOTE: Aubrey Jewett provided enormous assistance in compiling the bibliography used in this essay. His diligent and extraordinary efforts were instrumental in the completion of this study. The study benefited as well from the thoughtful input of John Geer and the anonymous reviewers he selected.

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“…Existem fatores comuns que ajudam a explicar a escolha dos 1 Este artigo foi realizado no âmbito do projeto "Organização e funcionamento da política representativa no estado de São Paulo (1994-2014", financiado pela Fapesp (12/19330-8 (Downs, 1999), foram apontados como fatores importantes nas escolhas para a presidência da República (Carreirão, 2002(Carreirão, , 2007Nicolau, 2007;Rennó, 2007;Holzhacker e Balbachevsky, 2007;Rennó e Cabello, 2010;Peixoto e Rennó, 2011;Nicolau, 2014aNicolau, , 2014bAmaral e Ribeiro, 2015). Alguns estudos demonstraram os efeitos da preferência partidária, ressaltando a importância dos partidos políticos na definição das escolhas eleitorais (Carreirão e Kinzo, 2004;Braga e Pimentel Jr, 2011;Ribeiro, Carreirão e Borba, 2011;Nicolau, 2014b;Amaral e Ribeiro, 2015 Embora os estados apareçam como peças importantes no xadrez político e eleitoral pós-regime autoritário no Brasil sob diferentes aspectos, seja no espaço legislativo (Abrucio, 1998;Samuels, 2003) ou na construção das candidaturas à presidência (Limongi e Cortez, 2010;Meneguello, 2011;Miranda, 2013;Mainwaring, Power (Simon, 1989;Simon, Ostrom e Marra, 1991 (c) A percepção sobre o desempenho da economia impacta na decisão do eleitor nas disputas estaduais. Esperamos encontrar uma associação positiva entre a avaliação retrospectiva egotrópica e sociotrópica 2 da economia e o voto nos candidatos à reeleição e nos que receberam apoio dos governadores em 2014 (tratados de maneira genérica aqui como incumbentes).…”

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Como os brasileiros escolhem os governadores? Desvendando as razões do voto para os executivos estaduais no Brasil em 2014

Amaral

Tanaka

2016

Opin. Publica

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Resumo Apesar da importância das disputas para os governos estaduais na política brasileira, pouco se sabe a respeito dos fatores que levam às escolhas dos eleitores para esses pleitos. Existem fatores comuns que ajudam a explicar a escolha dos eleitores em todo o país para os governos estaduais? Qual é o peso da avaliação do governo federal e da percepção sobre o desempenho da economia do país nas eleições nas unidades da federação? Candidatos à reeleição ou apoiados pelo governador são beneficiados pela avaliação positiva do governo federal? A preferência partidária importa na hora de escolher os candidatos a governador? Essas são as perguntas que buscamos responder, ainda que de maneira preliminar, neste artigo. Para isso, realizamos análises multivariadas a partir dos dados de nível individual produzidos pelo Estudo Eleitoral Brasileiro (Eseb) de 2014. Os resultados indicam que a preferência partidária, assim como nas eleições presidenciais, é importante elemento de escolha nos pleitos para os governos estaduais, e que a disputa entre PT e PSDB no plano nacional acaba por influenciar também o âmbito estadual.

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Presidents, Governors, and Electoral Accountability

Cited by 59 publications

References 21 publications

American Governors and their Constituents: The Relationship between Gubernatorial Personality and Public Approval

American Governors and their Constituents: The Relationship between Gubernatorial Personality and Public Approval

The State of State Politics Research

Como os brasileiros escolhem os governadores? Desvendando as razões do voto para os executivos estaduais no Brasil em 2014

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