OBJECTIVE -We sought to assess the accuracy of the probe-to-bone (PTB) test in diagnosing foot osteomyelitis in a cohort of diabetic patients with bone culture proven disease.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -In this 2-year longitudinal cohort study, we enrolled 1,666 consecutive diabetic individuals who underwent an initial standardized detailed foot assessment, followed by examinations at regular intervals. Patients were instructed to immediately come to the foot clinic if they developed a lower-extremity complication. For all patients with a lower-extremity wound, we compared the results of the PTB test with those of a culture of the affected bone. We called PTB positive if the bone or joint was palpable and defined osteomyelitis as a positive bone culture.RESULTS -Over a mean of 27.2 months of follow-up, 247 patients developed a foot wound and 151 developed 199 foot infections. Osteomyelitis was found in 30 patients: 12% of those with a foot wound and 20% in those with a foot infection. When all wounds were considered, the PTB test was highly sensitive (0.87) and specific (0.91); the positive predictive value was only 0.57, but the negative predictive value was 0.98.CONCLUSIONS -The PTB test, when used in a population of diabetic patients with a foot wound among whom the prevalence of osteomyelitis was 12%, had a relatively low positive predictive value, but a negative test may exclude the diagnosis.
Diabetes Care 30:270 -274, 2007I ndividuals with diabetes have an ϳ25% lifetime risk of developing a foot complication (1), the most common of which is skin ulceration. Over half of these foot wounds may eventually become infected, which greatly increases the risk of lower-extremity amputation (2-5). While most diabetic foot infections involve only the soft tissue, bone involvement occurs in 20 -66% of cases (6 -8). Furthermore, foot infections complicated by osteomyelitis generally have a worse outcome and often require surgical resection and prolonged antibiotic therapy (6,7).While diagnosing osteomyelitis is important, it is unfortunately also difficult. Clinical and laboratory signs and symptoms are generally unhelpful (6,7). Bone infection may not show up on plain radiographs in the first 2 weeks, and any X-ray abnormalities detected may be caused by the neuropathic bone disorders that frequently occur in diabetes. More accurate imaging studies, such as radionuclide scans or magnetic resonance imaging, are expensive and not universally available (9 -21). In 1995, Grayson et al. (22) described a clinical technique they used in diabetic patients with a foot infection consisting of exploring the wound for palpable bone with a sterile blunt metal probe. Their most important finding was that the probe-to-bone (PTB) test had a positive predictive value of 89%, leading them to conclude that a positive test usually made imaging studies for diagnosing osteomyelitis unnecessary (22). Since then, many have considered a positive PTB sufficient evidence for osteomyelitis. In the study by Grayson et al., however, the prevalen...