Price Risk For Coal Liquefaction in Moderate Scale Development

Abstract

Price risk assessment is conducted by analyzing the value of volatility and ROI. To estimate the energy that results from liquefaction processes we conduct comparison of water content based on temperatures of low temperature fischer tropsch. The temperature range is from 200 -250 degC and the pressure range is from 20 -50 bara. The method to calculate energy from liqueafaction process is linde hampson. Each coal type has a different HHV value depending on its composistion. Syngas price prediction in the future is done using the black scholes method, while the value of water content is determined using the Bukacek and khled methods. The method used to determine price risk is to look at the effect of water content on COPat values, then compare risks based on the value of $ space that is affected by COPat values. Risks are also compared through the price volatility and ROI parameters and analyze the NPV value of each cola type to see the comparability of the project based on the value of water content.