Projected changes in extreme precipitation indices over the Lake Urmia basin in Iran

Javan, Khadijeh; Movaghari, Alireza; Park, Jeong-Soo

doi:10.2166/wcc.2023.447

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 45 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Basically, agricultural products and natural vegetation of each region are among the most vulnerable systems against climate change in that region (Piticar, 2019 andJavan et al 2023). Based on this, agriculture is one of the most dependent human activities on weather (Hansen 2002).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Changes in agro-climatic indices in Northwest and West of Iran

Heydari,

Movaghari

2024

Preprint

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Temperature is one of the important climatic factors in agriculture, any change of which can affect the process of growth and production of agricultural products. Today, due to the occurrence of climate change, the importance of examining this issue, especially in agriculture, in terms of the impact on the food security of the people of the world, has become particularly important. Based on this, in this research, using the variables of minimum temperature, maximum temperature and average temperature in 17 meteorological stations in the northwest and west of Iran in the time period of 1985–2019, 5 cooling indices and 6 heating indices (at different temperature thresholds) were calculated and then trend analysis was done using two methods, Mann-Kendall (along with Sen’s slope estimator) and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA). Based on the analysis, it was found that the cooling indices in most of the stations have undergone a time shift while reducing the duration of the period. From the point of view of heating indices, in most stations, along with increasing the length of the growing season at different thresholds, thermal stress has also occurred, which has a negative effect on the growth of crops. Investigations showed that the two stations of Maragheh (in the north of the region) and Khorram Abad (in the south) had the most changes. It was also found that the ITA and the Mann-Kendall methods have little difference in showing the type of trend and the ITA shows the changes in a more reasonable way.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysis of Changes in agro-climatic indices in Northwest and West of Iran

Heydari,

Movaghari

2024

Preprint

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran

Naderi,

Saatsaz,

Behrouj Peely

2024

Hydrological Sciences Journal

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Hydrological simulation and evaluation of drought conditions in the ungauged watershed Parishan lake Iran, using the SWAT model

Ansarifard,

Ghorbanifard,

Boustani

et al. 2024

Journal of Water and Climate Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

ke Parishan has experienced significant water scarcity, leading to its complete disappearance. This study utilized the SWAT model to assess the impact of changes in vegetation, precipitation, temperature, and evaporation on runoff and the lake's surface. Two strategies were employed: analyzing runoff variations based on land use and land cover (LULC) changes and evaluating the effects of precipitation, temperature, and humidity on runoff during the simulation period. A key challenge was the lack of runoff statistics, which was addressed by using data from donor watershed stations and Copernicus satellite information to improving simulation processes and calibration. The findings reveal that environmental changes, particularly land use, have increased evaporation and temperature fluctuations which results in reducing runoff. While Copernicus satellite data proved useful, runoff statistics from the neighboring Chamchit station provided more accurate simulations. The study finding suggests that the LULC strategy is an effective management approach, as in this case Parishan Lake's historical conditions with less urbanization and agriculture correlated with higher runoff and lake levels. Finally, meteorological and hydrometric drought and its impact on lake area changes were measured to reach a more comprehensive conclusion.

show abstract

Projected changes in extreme precipitation indices over the Lake Urmia basin in Iran

Cited by 3 publications

References 45 publications

Analysis of Changes in agro-climatic indices in Northwest and West of Iran

Analysis of Changes in agro-climatic indices in Northwest and West of Iran

Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran

Hydrological simulation and evaluation of drought conditions in the ungauged watershed Parishan lake Iran, using the SWAT model

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About