Context Transcatheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF) has undergone important development, with acceptable midterm results in terms of the safety and recurrence. A meta-analysis was performed to identify the periprocedural complications, midterm success rates and predictors of recurrence after AF ablation.Methods and results 4357 patients with paroxysmal AF, 1083 with persistent AF and 1777 with long standing AF were included. The pooled analysis showed that there was an in-hospital complication rate of tamponade requiring drainage of 0.99% (0.44-1.54; CI 99%), stroke with neurological persistent impairment of 0.22% (0.04-0.47; CI 99%), and stroke without of 0.36% (0.03-0.70; CI 99%) After a follow up of 22 (13-28) months and 1.23 (1.19-1.5; CI 99%) procedures per patient, the AF recurrence rate was 31. 20% (24.87-34.81; CI 99%). The persistent AF patients exhibited a greater risk of recurrence after the first ablation (OR 1.78 [1.14, 2.77] CI 99%), but a trend towards non significance was present in the patients with more than one procedure (OR 1.69 [0.95,3.00] CI 99%). The most powerful predictors of an AF ablation failure in the overall population were a recurrence within 30-days (OR 4.30; 2.00-10.80), valvular AF (OR 5.20; 2.22-9.50) and a left atrium diameter of more than 50 mm (OR 5.10 2.00-12.90; all CI 95%).Conclusions Persistent AF remains burdened from higher recurrence rates, however not so following redo-procedures. Three predictors, valvular AF, a left atrium diameter longer than 50 mm and recurrence within 30 days, could be appraised to drive selection of patients and therapeutic strategy. Many observational studies have reported predictors identified by multivariate analyses including the time spent in persistent AF, structural heart disease, left ventricular impairment, and, perhaps most consistently, the left atrial diameter [7]; in the case in which they were confirmed in larger datasets these clinical features could be very useful for cardiologists and general clinicians both for a correct selection of patients deferred to an invasive strategy and to accurately manage the following procedure. However, to the best of our knowledge, no meta-analyses have been performed to appraise the results of real life observational studies of AF ablation, and their complication rates and the most powerful predictors of recurrence.
2.MethodsThe present research was elaborated according to current guidelines, including the recent Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) amendment to the
Search strategy and study selectionMedline, the Cochrane Library and Biomed Central were searched for related articles, according to the established methods [12], with terms related to catheter ablation of AF and predictors of recurrence obtained through multivariate analyses. All corresponding authors of the studies were directly emailed for further data and suggestions for additional research [13]. All citations at the abstract level were first appraised by independent revie...