h i g h l i g h t sThe relationship between urban form and CO 2 emissions is investigated. A panel data model is used, taking the period 1990-2010. The growth of urban areas correlates positively with CO 2 emissions. Increases in urban continuity has an inhibitory effect on CO 2 emissions. Increased urban shape complexity exhibits a positive influence in relation to CO 2 emissions. a r t i c l e i n f o
a b s t r a c tUrban form is increasingly being recognised by scientists for the potential role it might play in the coordination of sustainable urban development and the reduction of CO 2 emissions. However, despite increasing interest in the morphology of cities in climate change science, few quantitative estimates have been made of the effects of urban form on CO 2 emissions. The goal of this study is to quantify this relation, using panel data for China's 30 provincial capital cities from 1990 to 2010. In order to meet this aim, we first selected a series of urban form indicators, which we quantified by applying spatial metrics to remotely sensed data. We then estimated CO 2 emission levels using a unified standard method recommended by the IPCC Guidelines, and subsequently performed a panel data analysis. The results of the study demonstrated a positive correlation between the growth of urban areas and CO 2 emission levels. Further, it was also found that increased ''urban continuity" led to reductions in CO 2 emissions and that, conversely, increased ''urban shape complexity" exerted a positive influence in relation to CO 2 emissions. The findings of this study indicate that measures to make existing cities in China more compact may in fact help to reduce levels of CO 2 emissions, just as increasing fragmentation or increased irregularity with respect to urban form may contribute to increased CO 2 emissions. If serious about achieving meaningful reductions in CO 2 emissions, decision makers and planners should take urban form into consideration when developing low-carbon cities in China.