J. J. Sylvester's four-point problem asks for the probability that four
points chosen uniformly at random in the plane have a triangle as their convex
hull. Using a combinatorial classification of points in the plane due to
Goodman and Pollack, we generalize Sylvester's problem to one involving reduced
expressions for the long word in the symmetric group. We conjecture an answer
of 1/4 for this new version of the problem.Comment: 5 pages, 4 figures. Reference added to fact that the main conjecture
has been proven by O. Angel and A. E. Holroyd, Electron. J. Combin.,
17(1):Note 23, 7, 2010. Additional references also adde