Regional photovoltaic power fluctuations within frequency regulation control time frames: A study with high‐resolution data

Abstract

The growth of renewable energy penetration on power grids is reaching high levels in many countries around the world. In such high-penetration scenarios, the proper characterisation of the intermittency of renewable power generation becomes important to the operation of power grids. In this study, using the most recent high-resolution global horizontal irradiance data in Japan, we characterise short-term fluctuations of photovoltaic (PV) power in regional scale, in a scenario of high penetration of PV. We analysed 1 year of data with a resolution of 10 seconds for the Kanto area in Japan. The results show that the distribution of the short-term fluctuations is non-Gaussian, presenting a shape similar to a Laplacian distribution. In addition to statistical aspects, a methodology is presented to evaluate the fluctuations considering aspects relevant to power grid operators. Applying this methodology, we show that the highest fluctuations within the time frame of secondary regulation control of frequency reached 5% of the hourly power demand. Fluctuations of PV power within the primary regulation control time frame were within 3% of hourly power demand, and the 99th percentile of the fluctuations was within 1% of it. With the proposed methodology, which can be generally applied, we go beyond the description of statistical properties of short-term fluctuations of PV, showing also the importance to evaluate them in a context relevant to power grid operators.

Combined ANFIS–Wavelet Technique to Improve the Estimation Accuracy of the Power Output of Neighboring PV Systems during Cloud Events

“…Long-term variability can be easily planned for based on the well-known daily and seasonal solar irradiance in various geographical areas. On the other hand, short-term irradiance fluctuation due to the unexpected passing of clouds of unknown size, direction and speed, may result in frequency instability due to the reduction in the generated power [4][5][6]. Estimating such power is one of the main challenges faced by network operators to prevent frequency instability due to such short-term power reduction, which is why many adopt a suitable backup energy storage system.…”

“…Estimating such power is one of the main challenges faced by network operators to prevent frequency instability due to such short-term power reduction, which is why many adopt a suitable backup energy storage system. According to utilities guidelines, the PV system's power output the reduction in the generated power [4][5][6]. Estimating such power is one of the main challenges faced by network operators to prevent frequency instability due to such short-term power reduction, which is why many adopt a suitable backup energy storage system.…”