OBJECTIVE
To evaluate 25-year physical activity (PA) trajectories from young to middle-age and assess associations with the prevalence of coronary arterial calcification (CAC).
PATIENTS and METHODS
3,175 participants in CARDIA study self-reported PA by questionnaire at 8 follow up exams over 25 years (March 1985- June 1986 to June 2010-May 2011). The presence of CAC (CAC>0) at year 25 was measured using computed tomography. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify PA trajectories with increasing age.
RESULTS
We identified 3 distinct PA trajectories: Trajectory 1: Below PA guidelines (n= 1813; 57.1%); Trajectory 2: Meeting PA guidelines (n= 1094; 34.5%); and, Trajectory 3: Three times PA guidelines (n= 268; 8.4%). Trajectory 3 participants had higher adjusted odds of CAC>0 (AOR 1.27; 95% CI: 0.95, 1.70) versus those in Trajectory 1. Stratification by race showed that whites engaged in PA three times the guidelines had higher odds of developing CAC>0 with OR 1.80 (95% CI: 1.21, 2.67). Further stratification by gender showed higher odds for white males (OR 1.86; 95% CI: 1.16, 2.98), while similar, but non- significant trends were noted for white females (OR 1.71; 95% CI: 0.79, 3.71). However, no such higher odds of CAC>0 for Trajectory 3 were observed for black participants.
CONCLUSIONS
White individuals who participated in three times the recommended PA guidelines, over 25-years, had higher odds of developing coronary subclinical atherosclerosis by middle-age. These findings warrant further exploration, especially by race, into possible biological mechanisms for CAC risk at very high levels of PA.