Pathologically proven regional lymph node metastasis affects the prognosis in early stage oral cancer. Therefore we investigated invasive tumor patterns predicting nodal involvement and survival in patients with clinically node-negative T1 and T2 oral squamous cell carcinoma (cT1,2N0M0 OSCC). Ninety-one cases of cT1,2N0M0 OSCC treated with transoral resection of the primary tumor were assessed based on 3 types of invasive tumor patterns on histopathologic and pancytokeratin-stained immunohistological sections: the mode of invasion, worst pattern of invasion (WPOI), and tumor budding. The correlations among invasive tumor patterns, regional metastasis, and disease-free survival were analyzed. Of the 91 cases, 22 (24%) had pathologically proven regional metastasis. The mode of invasion (p<0.01) and tumor budding (p<0.01) were associated with regional metastasis as well as lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.04) in univariate analysis. In logistic regression analysis, however, tumor budding was the only independent predictor of regional metastasis (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.29–5.30, p<0.01). All three invasive patterns, the mode of invasion, WPOI, and tumor budding, were found to be significant predictors of 5-year disease-free survival (p<0.01, p = 0.03, and p<0.01, respectively) as well as lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.02) and perineural invasion (p = 0.02). A final model for Cox multivariate analysis identified the prognostic advantage of the intensity of tumor budding (HR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.51–3.18, p<0.01) compared with the mode of invasion and WPOI in disease-free survival. Our results indicate that the intensity of tumor budding may be a novel diagnostic biomarker, as well as a therapeutic tool, for regional metastasis in patients with cT1,2N0M0 OSCC. If the pancytokeratin-based immunohistochemical features of more than five buds, and a grade 4C or 4D mode of invasion are identified, careful wait-and-see follow-up in a short period with the use of imaging modalities is desirable. If there are more than ten buds, a grade 4D mode of invasion, or WPOI-5 in the same section, wide resection of the primary tumor with elective neck dissection should be recommended.