Risk Analysis of Rice Farming in Alue Merbau Village, East Langsa Sub-District, Langsa City

Abstract

Rice is the main agricultural commodity in Langsa City which participates in efforts to support government programs, namely special efforts for soybean corn rice. However, a decrease in farm productivity will be a risk in farming. This research was aimed to determine the risk to farmers prices, production and income of rice farming in Alue Merbau village, East Langsa sub-district, Langsa. The research was designed as descriptive and analytical research. The sampling farmers was selected by using simple random sampling and structural review. The method if this research used coefficient variance as analytical tools in this research. The result showed that coefficient of variation of cost risk was low, meanwhile income and production risk were high. It’s indicate that the rice farming was unefficient and the farmers never record all the expense.

Production risk analysis of semi-organic rice in Sleman Regency, Special Region of Yogyakarta, Indonesia

“…The coefficient of variation of semi-organic rice production by farmers both with their own land and non-owned land was greater than 0.5, indicating the high-risk category. This situation aligns with the production risk of rice in Alue Merbau Village [18] but contradicts that in Gowa Regency, South Sulawesi Province, falling in the low-risk category [25]. The high production risk of semi-organic rice was due to farmers in Sleman having varied production processes, some had farmed semi-organic rice for a long time, and others were still new.…”

“…Hence, some work in organic rice farming was quite heavy, such as cultivating land, planting, and harvesting by non-family labor. The average age of semi-organic rice farmers in Sleman is comparatively higher than that of their counterparts in Nepal, with a mean age of 44.85 years [20] and East Langsa Sub-District, Langsa City [18].…”

“…CV : Coefficient of variation σ : Standard deviation of semi-organic rice production Ӯ : Average value of semi-organic rice production A larger coefficient of variation (CV) than 0.5, the farming has a high risk, indicating a possibility of losses. Conversely, a coefficient of variation of lower than 0.5 signifies a low risk of farming; hence, farmers will make a profit or break even [18] The second objective, identifying the factors influencing production risk of semi-organic rice, was analyzed using the production function of Cobb-Douglass transformed into natural logarithms, written as follows:…”

Tingkat Risiko Pendapatan dan Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Pendapatan Usahatani Tebu Keprasan

“…Sama halnya dengan ukuran risiko lain, semakin kecil nilai koefisien variasi, maka semakin rendah risiko yang dihadapi dari suatu usaha. Rumus koefisien variasi adalah sebagai berikut (Fauzan, 2016): CV = σ_i/µ…… (2) Keterangan: CV = Koefisien variasi (coefficient variation) σi = Simpangan baku (standard deviation) µ = Rata-rata hasil (ton/ha) Kriteria pengambilan keputusan: 1) Apabila nilai CV < 0,5 maka usahatani tebu keprasan yang dianalisis memiliki risiko rendah 2) Apabila nilai CV > 0,5 maka usahatani tebu keprasan yang dianalisis memiliki risiko tinggi (Saragih et al, 2021)…”

“…Risiko pendapatan yang dihadapi petani berdasarkan hasil perhitungan CV, nilai CV sebesar 0,97 yang artinya peluang kerugian yang harus ditanggung oleh petani tebu sebesar 0,97 Rp/Ha. Nilai CV sebesar 0,97 menunjukkan kriteria lebih dari 0,5 dan nilai L kurang dari 0 yang artinya risiko pendapatan usahatani tebu terkategori usahatani yang berisiko tinggi (Saragih et al, 2021). Penelitian Karpagam et al, (2019) menunjukkan orientasi risiko petani tebu menunjukkan tingkat sedang hingga tinggi.…”