Risk assessment in support to land-use planning in Europe: Towards more consistent decisions?

Christou, Michalis; Zsuzsanna, Gyenes; Struckl, Michael

doi:10.1016/j.jlp.2010.10.001

Cited by 46 publications

(34 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…Explosions and fires are secondary hazards that occur with the earthquake and are generally intensified by the tsunami. Explosions have a concentrated point-shape impact around hazardous port-driven industry facilities, where the hazard effects decrease with the increased distance from the focal point, threatening the nearby living communities with sudden disruptions (Taveau, 2010;Christou et al, 2011). A fire hazard shows a planarly sprawling impact, due to inflammable material storage and non-fireproof construction sources.…”

Section: Hazard Risk Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategies to increase the accessibility of tsunami shelters enhances their adaptive capacity to risks in coastal port cities: The case of Nagoya City, Japan

Zhang

Yun

2018

Preprint

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Abstract. Coastal areas face a significant risk of tsunami after a nearby heavy earthquake. Comprehensive coastal port cities often complicate and intensify this risk, due to the high vulnerability of their communities and liabilities associated with secondary damage. Accessibility to tsunami shelters is a key measure of adaptive capacity in response to tsunami risks and should therefore be enhanced. This study integrates the hazards that create risk into two dimensions: hazard-product risk and hazard-affected risk. Specifically, the hazard-product risk measures the hazard occurrence's probability, intensity, duration, and extension in a system. The hazard-affected risk measures the extent to which the system is affected by the hazard occurrence. This enables the study of specific strategies for responding to each kind of risk, to enhance accessibility to tsunami shelters. Nagoya City in Japan served as the case study; the city is one of the most advanced tsunami-resilient port cities in the world. The spatial distribution of the hazard-product risk and hazard-affected risk was first visualized in 165 School District samples, covering 213 km2 using a Hot Spot Analysis. The results suggest that the rules governing the distribution of these two-dimensional (2D) risks are significantly different. By refining the tsunami evacuation time-space routes, traffic location related indicators, referring to three-scale traffic patterns with three-hierarchy traffic roads, are used as accessibility variables. Two-way Multivariate Analysis of Variance (MANOVA) was used to analyse the differences in these accessibility variables to compare the 2D risk. MANOVA was also used to assess the difference of accessibility between high-level risk and low-level risk in each risk dimension. The results show that tsunami shelter accessibility strategies, targeting hazard-product risk and hazard-affected risk, are significantly different in Nagoya. These different strategies are needed to adapt to the risk.

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Section: Hazard Risk Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategies to increase the accessibility of tsunami shelters enhances their adaptive capacity to risks in coastal port cities: The case of Nagoya City, Japan

Zhang

Yun

2018

Preprint

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“…These methods are not necessarily contradictory, and in most cases a combination of them are employed (hybrid methods). Comprehensive reviews and comparisons of conventional LUP methods adapted within European countries have been discussed by Papazoglou et al [24], Christou et al [6,8], Cozzani et al [9], Basta et al [3], Demichela et al [12], Pasman and Reniers [26].…”

Section: Risk-based Land Use Planningmentioning

confidence: 99%

Risk-based design of process plants with regard to domino effects and land use planning

Khakzad

Reniers

2015

Journal of Hazardous Materials

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Land use planning (LUP) as an effective and crucial safety measure has widely been employed by safety experts and decision makers to mitigate off-site risks posed by major accidents. Accordingly, the concept of LUP in chemical plants has traditionally been considered from two perspectives: (i) land developments around existing chemical plants considering potential off-site risks posed by major accidents and (ii) development of existing chemical plants considering nearby land developments and the level of additional off-site risks the land developments would be exposed to. However, the attempts made to design chemical plants with regard to LUP requirements have been few, most of which have neglected the role of domino effects in risk analysis of major accidents. To overcome the limitations of previous work, first, we developed a Bayesian network methodology to calculate both on-site and off-site risks of major accidents while taking domino effects into account. Second, we combined the results of risk analysis with Analytic Hierarchical Process to design an optimal layout for which the levels of on-site and off-site risks would be minimum.

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“…16 The first three countries have quite different views on the role of risk assessment in maintaining safety and have different legal systems.…”

Section: Spatial Planning In Four European Member Statesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regulation to Safeguard against High-Consequence Industrial Events

Pasman¹

2015

Risk Analysis and Control for Industrial Processes - Gas, Oil and Chemicals

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Risk assessment in support to land-use planning in Europe: Towards more consistent decisions?

Cited by 46 publications

References 6 publications

Strategies to increase the accessibility of tsunami shelters enhances their adaptive capacity to risks in coastal port cities: The case of Nagoya City, Japan

Strategies to increase the accessibility of tsunami shelters enhances their adaptive capacity to risks in coastal port cities: The case of Nagoya City, Japan

Risk-based design of process plants with regard to domino effects and land use planning

Regulation to Safeguard against High-Consequence Industrial Events

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