Little research has been conducted on the long-term value of human papillomavirus (HPV) testing after conization. We investigated whether cytology adds to the value of a negative HPV test for long-term prediction of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN21). In addition, we compared risk of CIN21 following a negative HPV test in women after conization with that in women from the general population. During 2002During -2005 women treated for CIN21 were tested for HPV and cytology 46 months after conization. Only HPV-negative women were included. Women participating in routine screening were age-matched with post-conization HPV-negative women, leaving 13,230 and 477 women, respectively, for analysis. By linkage to the Pathology Data Bank, we identified all cases of CIN21 by December 2013. The 3-, 5-, 8-and 10-year risks for CIN21 were 0.7, 0.9, 2.8 and 5.7% after a negative HPV test and 0.5, 0.8, 2.9 and 6.1% in HPV and cytology-negative women. HPV-negative women in the general population had similar 3-year and 5-year risks of 0.4 and 1.0%; thereafter, they had lower risks of 1.9% at 8 years and 2.7% at 10 years. Our results indicate that HPV testing may be used as a test of cure after conization. In the first 5 years after testing, the risk for CIN21 of women who were HPV-negative at 34 months after conization was similar to that of HPV-negative women in the general population. After 67 years, however, women who have undergone conization may be at higher risk for CIN21.Conization is performed on women with diagnosed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grades 2 and 3. Excision of CIN lesions by conization generally eradicates the causative highrisk (HR) human papillomavirus (HPV). Still we do not know exactly why conization eradicates HR HPV, which often extends past the field of treatment, but conization prevents progression to cervical cancer.1 Nevertheless, women who have undergone conization still have a higher risk for CIN than the general female population 2 and are followed up after treatment. Recognition of HR HPV as the prime causal factor of cervix cancer has led to addition of HPV to cytology in many followup programs; however, few studies have been published on HPV testing alone in long-term follow-up after conization. [3][4][5] In women in the general population, a negative HPV test has been shown to have high, long-term, negative predictive value for development of high-grade cervical lesions. 6,7 This has been studied less extensively, however, in women who have undergone conization; consequently, the long-term predictive value of a negative HPV test after conization is not known.We investigated whether adding cytology to a negative HPV test improves the long-term safety of a negative test for development of CIN2 or worse (CIN21) after conization. We furthermore compared the absolute risk for CIN21 of women testing HPV-negative after conization with that of an age-matched group of HPV-negative women in the general Danish population.
Material and MethodsBetween 2002 and 2005, a...