Risk of technological unemployment and support for redistributive policies

Sacchi, Stefano; Guarascio, Dario; Vannutelli, Silvia

doi:10.1007/978-3-658-27043-8_16

Cited by 14 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…All these contributions analyse explicitly the role of experienced or expected inequalities on preferences for redistribution, holding the exposure to actual redistribution as fixed. There is little evidence on the effect of the actual welfare state generosity on preferences for redistribution, holding income risk and inequality fixed (two exceptions are Sacchi et al 2020 and Thewissen and Rueda 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Preferences for redistribution and exposure to tax-benefit schemes in Europe

Andreoli

Olivera

2020

European Journal of Political Economy

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This paper provides evidence that attitudes towards redistribution are associated with the extent of generosity of the redistributive context experienced by the individual, as measured by the likelihood of receiving positive benefit transfers net of fiscal contribution. We estimate reduced form tax-benefit equations with the EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC), and match the implied parameters to the respondents of the European Social Survey (ESS) on the basis of their characteristics. The period of analysis is 2008-2016. For identification, we exploit exogenous crosscountry and time variation in tax rules and market income to disentangle implications of exposure to tax-benefit rules on preferences for redistribution from the effects of changes in income inequality. We find that exposure to positive net benefits increases demand for redistribution by about 1.2%, the effect being robust across a variety of specifications. The signs of the effects are consistent with those predicted by a simple model where exposure to redistribution affects expectations for consumption, but risk averse individuals discount this effect by the nature of income shocks they are exposed to in the market.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Preferences for redistribution and exposure to tax-benefit schemes in Europe

Andreoli

Olivera

2020

European Journal of Political Economy

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“…Contemporary workers are exposed to unemployment risks arising from various labour market disruptions such as job offshoring and international trade (Autor et al, 2013). Here, I focus on unemployment risk from one major disruption: workplace automation (Sacchi, Guarascio, & Vannutelli, 2020;Thewissen & Rueda, 2017).…”

Section: Determinants Of Demanding Almp Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The authors find that most of the reviewed studies confirm that job polarization has taken place, and it is attributable to RBTC. 3 At the level of workers, RBTC implies that workers in occupations with more routine tasks experience greater unemployment risk than workers in occupations with more nonroutine tasks (Sacchi, Guarascio, & Vannutelli, 2020;Thewissen & Rueda, 2017). Yet, it is important to highlight that unemployment risk does not equate to actual unemployment (Rovny & Rovny, 2017).…”

Section: Determinants Of Demanding Almp Supportmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Arntz, Gregory, & Zierahn, 2017;Frey & Osborne, 2017), most studies seem to settle on using RTI to measure an occupation's vulnerability to automation (see eg. Owen & Johnston, 2017;Sacchi, Guarascio, & Vannutelli, 2020;Thewissen & Rueda, 2017). 8 I used the RTI index supplied by Owen and Johnston's (2017) study that assigned RTI values to occupations categorized at the International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO) system four-digit level.…”

Section: Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this paper, I focus on employed workers who are threatened by unemployment from workplace automation. Workplace automation is a major disruptor of employment structures in contemporary advanced economies (Goos, Manning, & Salomons, 2014;Oesch & Rodríguez Menés, 2011;Sacchi, Guarascio, & Vannutelli, 2020). Numerous studies show that employment shares for occupations consisting of routine tasks, namely job activities that are repetitive and codifiable, have declined relative to employment shares for occupations consisting of nonroutine tasks (Autor, Levy, & Murnane, 2003;Biagi & Sebastian, 2020;Goos, Manning, & Salomons, 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Automation risk and support for welfare policies: how does the threat of unemployment affect demanding active labour market policy support?

2020

J. int. comp. soc. policy

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How does unemployment risk affect workers’ support for demanding active labour market policies (ALMPs)? There may be a substantial number of workers who experience unemployment risk from labour market disruptions. Yet, we know less about its impact on demanding ALMP support than the impact of unemployment status. Here, I explore the impact of unemployment risk through automation. Automation-threatened workers’ support for demanding ALMPs may be influenced by two opposing considerations that are linked to their potential reliance on welfare. First, they may worry about barriers to welfare access. Second, they may worry about welfare competition, especially under austerity. Their support for demanding ALMPs would hence depend on which consideration they find to be most salient. Based on the European Social Survey (2016) data on West European countries, I find that automation-threatened workers significantly support such policies. This may indicate that they find welfare competition concerns more salient than welfare access ones.

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Public Opinion on Basic Income: What Have We Learnt so Far?

Rincón

2023

Exploring the Basic Income Guarantee

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Risk of technological unemployment and support for redistributive policies

Cited by 14 publications

References 42 publications

Preferences for redistribution and exposure to tax-benefit schemes in Europe

Preferences for redistribution and exposure to tax-benefit schemes in Europe

Automation risk and support for welfare policies: how does the threat of unemployment affect demanding active labour market policy support?

Public Opinion on Basic Income: What Have We Learnt so Far?

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