Focal Area(3) Our proposal will focus on insight gleaned from observed and simulated complex data by using artificial intelligence (AI), big data analytics, and other advanced methods.
Science ChallengeWe will advance the understanding of water cycle extremes by evaluating the interactions between hydroclimate and land surface processes across spatiotemporal scales.
RationaleA prolonged period of atmospheric, surface, or subsurface water shortage in a region is referred to as a drought. Droughts can result in the loss of agricultural productivity, ecosystem damage, water scarcity, and negative socioeconomic impacts. Therefore, the ability to estimate drought in a timely manner is crucial for emergency preparedness and planning. The state of drought in a region is determined by understanding the interaction among hydroclimate and land surface characteristics and by identifying the dominant drivers, and it is estimated by using deficit indicators (Miralles et al. 2019). Thus far, many indicators have been developed to quantify drought, and the most popular are the standardized precipitation index, Palmer drought severity index (PDSI), and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. The utility of these indices varies by region and applications. These indices are generally calculated at aggregate timescales with respect to a reference period with a deficit over a certain period indicating drought (Hao, Singh, and Xia 2018).