Abstract. In most sediment transport models, a threshold variable dictates the shear stress at which nonnegligible bedload transport begins. Previous work has demonstrated that nondimensional transport thresholds (τ * c ) vary with many factors related not only to grain size and shape, but also with characteristics of the local bed surface and sediment transport rate (q s ). I propose a new model in which q s -dependent τ * c , notated as τ * c(q s ) , evolves as a power-law function of net erosion or deposition. In the model, net entrainment is assumed to progressively remove more mobile particles while leaving behind more stable grains, gradually increasing τ * c(q s ) and reducing transport rates. Net deposition tends to fill in topographic lows, progressively leading to less stable distributions of surface grains, decreasing τ * c(q s ) and increasing transport rates. Model parameters are calibrated based on laboratory flume experiments that explore transport disequilibrium. The τ * c(q s ) equation is then incorporated into a simple morphodynamic model. The evolution of τ * c(q s ) is a negative feedback on morphologic change, while also allowing reaches to equilibrate to sediment supply at different slopes. Finally, τ * c(q s ) is interpreted to be an important but nonunique state variable for morphodynamics, in a manner consistent with state variables such as temperature in thermodynamics.