Scarcity Pricing for Water Demand Management: A Case Study in Campina Grande -- Brazil

Araujo, Wanderbeg Correia de; Esquerre, Karla Patricia O; Sahin, Oz; Silva, Brenner Biasi S

doi:10.5890/jeam.2021.03.007

Cited by 1 publication

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“…Then, the least squares method is used to solve the parameters in the model (Equation ( 8)). Therefore, the parameters B and Y can be obtained by using Equations ( 9) and (10)…”

Section: The Ddgm(1n) Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Forecasting Water Consumption in the Yangtze River Delta Based on Deformable Cumulative Multivariable Grey Model

Qiao

Yang

2023

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The intensified contradiction between water resources and social development has restricted the development of the Yangtze River Delta. Due to the importance of water consumption in relieving this contradiction, this paper proposes a novel cumulative multivariable grey model with a high performance to predict the water consumption. Firstly, the grey correlation analysis is applied to study the influencing factors, and then the DGM(1,N) with deformable accumulation (DDGM(1,N) model) is constructed and used to predict the water consumption. The results show that the resident population has a significant impact on the water consumption, and the performance of the DDGM(1,N) model is better than the other two grey models. Secondly, the proposed novel grey model is applied to predict the water consumption in 17 cities in the Yangtze River Delta, and the predicted water consumption in Zhejiang and Shanghai indicates a downward trend, while the predicated water consumption in some cities of the Anhui Province presents an upward trend, such as Chizhou, Chuzhou, Wuhu and Tongling. Finally, some policy implications are provided that correspond to the population growth and three major industries in different situations. This paper enriches the research method and prediction analysis used for the water consumption, and the findings can provide some decision-making references for water resources management.

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“…Then, the least squares method is used to solve the parameters in the model (Equation ( 8)). Therefore, the parameters B and Y can be obtained by using Equations ( 9) and (10)…”

Section: The Ddgm(1n) Modelmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A long-and short-term memory model was used to predict the short-term demand in Hefei, China [9]. A water scarcity pricing model was proposed to promote more effective water resources management in areas with scarce water resources [10].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting Water Consumption in the Yangtze River Delta Based on Deformable Cumulative Multivariable Grey Model

Qiao

Yang

2023

Axioms

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Scarcity Pricing for Water Demand Management: A Case Study in Campina Grande -- Brazil

Cited by 1 publication

References 0 publications

Forecasting Water Consumption in the Yangtze River Delta Based on Deformable Cumulative Multivariable Grey Model

Forecasting Water Consumption in the Yangtze River Delta Based on Deformable Cumulative Multivariable Grey Model

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