Scenario analysis in environmental impact assessment: Improving explorations of the future

Duinker, Peter N.; Greig, Lorne A.

doi:10.1016/j.eiar.2006.11.001

Cited by 248 publications

(165 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…45 Scenario analysis is an important approach for strategic decision-making, particularly in environmental impact assessments, due to its ability to define future developments for cumulative impact assessment and to determine the effects of contextual change on possible interventions (Duinker and Greig 2007). In the framework, Scenario Analysis will be aimed at targeting identified carbon hotspots and reducing their emissions through appropriate interventions, to be evaluated according to their mitigations potential.…”

Section: Scenario Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

An application of hybrid life cycle assessment as a decision support framework for green supply chains

Lake

Acquaye

Genovese

et al. 2014

International Journal of Production Research

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Section: Scenario Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

An application of hybrid life cycle assessment as a decision support framework for green supply chains

Lake

Acquaye

Genovese

et al. 2014

International Journal of Production Research

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“…The necessary information for assembling the technology roadmap of the Hungarian residential-level energetics is partly missing in the literature. We summarize this fragmented information using the insights and recommendations of [11], [5], [26], [49], [45], and [52] about producing a proper roadmap. Industry-level energy generation is widely covered in the literature but there are only a few cross-references to the residentiallevel, so the adaptation of the roadmap to the circumstances in Hungary must be limited.…”

Section: Identifying the Knowledge Gapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Applying technology roadmapping for the energy saving industry

Bíró-Szigeti¹,

Pataki²

2012

Per. Pol. Soc. and Man. Sci.

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This paper discusses some issues of residential energy saving technologies in Hungary, applying a relatively new method. Coordination of public and industry investments -compling with sustainability criteria -has come up against several difficulties up to now. These problems originate mostly in the long-standing lack of the comprehensive strategic plans containing concrete objectives and state's guidelines for the household market of building energetics products and services. The authors' purpose is to analyse this market from a strategic point of view, and to process the available information using technology roadmapping, as well as to draw conclusions about the practical fruition.

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“…Scenario analysis is a fundamental component of cumulative effects assessment (Duinker and Greig 2007), strategic environmental assessment (Gunn and Noble 2009), and land use planning (Kennett 2010). Scenarios are plausible, but structurally different descriptions of how the future might unfold (Mahmoud et al 2009).…”

Section: Scenario Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Cumulative Effects Assessment: Linking Social, Ecological, and Governance Dimensions

Weber¹,

Krogman²,

Antoniuk³

2012

E&S

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ABSTRACT. Setting social, economic, and ecological objectives is ultimately a process of social choice informed by science. In this special feature we provide a multidisciplinary framework for the use of cumulative effects assessment in land use planning. Forest ecosystems are facing considerable challenges driven by population growth and increasing demands for resources. In a suite of case studies that span the boreal forest of Western Canada to the interior Atlantic forest of Paraguay we show how transparent and defensible methods for scenario analysis can be applied in data-limited regions and how social dimensions of land use change can be incorporated in these methods, particularly in aboriginal communities that have lived in these ecosystems for generations. The case studies explore how scenario analysis can be used to evaluate various land use options and highlight specific challenges with identifying social and ecological responses, determining thresholds and targets for land use, and integrating local and traditional knowledge in land use planning. Given that land use planning is ultimately a value-laden and often politically charged process we also provide some perspective on various collective and expert-based processes for identifying cumulative impacts and thresholds. The need for good science to inform and be informed by culturally appropriate democratic processes calls for well-planned and multifaceted approaches both to achieve an informed understanding of both residents and governments of the interactive and additive changes caused by development, and to design action agendas to influence such change at the ecological and social level.

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Scenario analysis in environmental impact assessment: Improving explorations of the future

Cited by 248 publications

References 16 publications

An application of hybrid life cycle assessment as a decision support framework for green supply chains

An application of hybrid life cycle assessment as a decision support framework for green supply chains

Applying technology roadmapping for the energy saving industry

Cumulative Effects Assessment: Linking Social, Ecological, and Governance Dimensions

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