Scenario-based analyses of energy system development and its environmental implications in Thailand

Shrestha, Ram M.; Malla, Sunil; Liyanage, Migara H.

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2006.11.007

Cited by 46 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…The main principle of this approach to development is the adherence to a middle path in all aspects of social interaction at individual, family and community levels including energy sustainability aspects. However, modelling carried out under this sufficiency economy scenario has resulted in projections of only 14% of renewable energy sources to be used in total primary energy supply by 2050 and an increase of energy import dependency from 50% in 2000 to 80% in 2050 (Shrestha et al 2007). This is mainly because of the burden of high initial costs and the lower plant load factor 31 of renewable energy technologies used for electricity generation and the intermittent nature of renewable resources.…”

Section: Focussed Planning Towards Sustainability For the National Inmentioning

confidence: 96%

Towards a sustainable energy future—exploring current barriers and potential solutions in Thailand

Uddin

Taplin

2008

Environ Dev Sustain

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Renewable energy is considered an indispensable basis of sustainable energy systems as electricity generation from renewable sources results in low emissions of greenhouse gases compared to fossil fuel based electricity and contributes to sustainable development. However, effective strategies and conducive institutional settings are needed for advancement of such clean electricity systems. Although Thailand, as a nation, has a huge potential for renewable energy utilization, its total amount of electricity generation from renewables is relatively small and could be enlarged substantially. Lack of policy mechanisms, institutional development and financing exist as major barriers for Thailand in this regard. Investigation of the nation's current energy strategy implementation shows that relevant energy and development policies are at different stages of implementation and institutional settings are continuously evolving. This paper argues that further significant efforts could be made towards advancement of renewable electricity and thus achievement of energy sustainability in Thailand. Resource planning, effective policy and institutions, focussed planning for energy sustainability and implementation of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) under the Kyoto Protocol could facilitate further advancement of renewables for the nation.

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Section: Focussed Planning Towards Sustainability For the National Inmentioning

confidence: 96%

Towards a sustainable energy future—exploring current barriers and potential solutions in Thailand

Uddin

Taplin

2008

Environ Dev Sustain

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“…The existing data is sometimes only available in Thai language and not in open literature. Only a few publications with detailed energy demand modeling of the Thai transportation sector are available in open literature [5,6], while others have focused on other energy consumption sectors [7][8][9][10]. In addition to difficulty in data collection, some assumptions are necessary to predict the future energy demand because the involved variables are varied with time.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario Analyses of Road Transport Energy Demand: A Case Study of Ethanol as a Diesel Substitute in Thailand

et al. 2011

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Ethanol is conventionally used as a blend with gasoline due to its similar properties, especially the octane number. However, ethanol has also been explored and used as a diesel substitute. While a low-blend of ethanol with diesel is possible with use of an emulsifier additive, a high-blend of ethanol with diesel may require major adjustment of compression-ignition (CI) diesel engines. Since dedicated CI engines are commercially available for a high-blend ethanol in diesel (ED95), a fuel mixture comprised of 95% ethanol and 5% additive, this technology offers an option for an oil-importing country like Thailand to reduce its fossil import by use of its own indigenous bio-ethanol fuel. Among many strong campaigns on ethanol utilization in the transportation sector under Thailand's Alternative Energy Strategic Plan (2008)(2009)(2010)(2011)(2012)(2013)(2014)(2015)(2016)(2017)(2018)(2019)(2020)(2021)(2022), the Thai Ministry of Energy has, for the first time, conducted a demonstration project with ethanol (ED95) buses on the Thai road system. The current investigation thus aims to assess and quantify the impact of using this ED95 technology to reduce fossil diesel consumption by adjusting the commercially available energy demand model called the Long range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). For this purpose, first, the necessary statistical data in the Thai transportation sector were gathered and analyzed to construct the predicative energy OPEN ACCESSEnergies 2011, 4 109 demand model. Then, scenario analyses were conducted to assess the benefit of ED95 technology on the basis of energy efficiency and greenhouse gas emission reduction.

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“…Examples of articles Forecasts [13], [14], [22], [25], [26], [30], [31], [34], [38], [47], [49], [52], [55], [56], [61], [63], [65], [67], [68], [70], [81], [84], [89] Back casting and roadmaps [15], [17], [20], [21], [23], [24], [28], [37], [42], [50], [52], [60], [62], [70], [73], [78], [85], [86] Exploratory studies and visions [19], [24], [27], [35], [41], [44], [77], [86] Assessments and evaluations of previously made scenarios [16...…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For identified articles within each category see Table 6. Climate change, One, out of two: [17], [21], [23], [24], [25], [26], [28], [39], [42], [53], [56], [57], [60], [62], [67], [70], [78], [82], [84], [85], [86], [87], [88] [37], [43], [66], [72], [77], [79] Housing [27], [35], [61], [74], [75], |76] Transportation [14], [20], [40], [65], [81], [89] Industry [19], [88] Security of supply and energy sources [15], [16], [31], [33], [38], [41], [44], …”

Section: A Geographical Interest: National Regional Globalmentioning

confidence: 99%

Getting back to scenario planning: Strategic action in the future of energy Europe

Blomgren

Jonsson²,

Lagergren

2011

2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM)

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Scenario planning is a commonly used method in order to analyse complex aspects of the energy system. Historically it has been an important tool to prepare for long-term action. Today however, due to the deregulated market, it could be assumed that scenario analysis is abandoned. Maybe more (the only) attention is on short-term action.This Three conclusions are drawn. Firstly, the main use of scenario planning still tends to be a support to political processes. Secondly, three major issues and drivers for change dominate when different aspects of the energy system are analysed in scenario projects: climate change, security in terms of demand/supply and economic development. Thirdly, it is concluded that scenario planning still tend to be of value when analysing the future of the deregulated energy sector in Europe.However, in order to be fully utilized for the future scenario methodology must take into account that energy industry actors are not being controlled by politics as they where during the regulated period.

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Scenario-based analyses of energy system development and its environmental implications in Thailand

Cited by 46 publications

References 18 publications

Towards a sustainable energy future—exploring current barriers and potential solutions in Thailand

Towards a sustainable energy future—exploring current barriers and potential solutions in Thailand

Scenario Analyses of Road Transport Energy Demand: A Case Study of Ethanol as a Diesel Substitute in Thailand

Getting back to scenario planning: Strategic action in the future of energy Europe

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