Scenario building for Metropolitan Tunis

Barbanente, Angela; Khakee, Abdul; Puglisi, M.

doi:10.1016/s0016-3287(02)00002-2

Cited by 32 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…In this workshop, the above participants took part in a structured discussion, organized by the authors of the present planning study. The whole event was structured according to the future workshop qualitative participatory approach, running in four discrete stages, namely the [5]:…”

Section: The Methodological Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

A participatory methodological framework for paving alternative local tourist development paths—the case of Sterea Ellada Region

Παναγιωτοπούλου

Stratigea

2014

Eur J Futures Res

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The focus of the present paper is on the development of a participatory methodological framework, based on the future workshop participatory approach and participatory evaluation tools for planning the integrated development of a specific region, the Region of Sterea Ellada-Greece. Towards this end, particular emphasis is placed upon the sustainable use of natural and cultural resources for the spatial planning of alternative tourist development paths, which are effectively integrated into the local economic structure and its future perspectives. The proposed framework results in the building of scenario-specific policy guidelines which, by taking into consideration developments of the internal and external environment of the study region and the specific decision contexts these outline, support policy makers by providing a range of policy directions and policy measures that can serve effective decision-making within each specific decision context. Moreover, the participatory evaluation approach adopted in the proposed framework supports public and stakeholders' engagement in the decision-making processes, rendering thus these processes more pluralistic, credible, legitimized and transparent, which in turn are to the benefit of the planning process, the final policy decisions and their successful implementation at the local level.

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Section: The Methodological Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

A participatory methodological framework for paving alternative local tourist development paths—the case of Sterea Ellada Region

Παναγιωτοπούλου

Stratigea

2014

Eur J Futures Res

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“…Celino i Concilio (2010) opisuju izradu scenarija u sklopu izrade socijalnog i ekonomskog plana regionalnog parka koji obuhvaća deltu rijeke Po (Veneto), gdje su scenariji zamišljeni kao alati assure the continuous engagement of multiple factors, given that the actors who construct scenarios are the same as the ones who implement ideas, make decisions and take actions. However, as shown by the experience of Barbanente et al (2002) in scenario construction in Tunis, the selection and involvement of key stakeholders in the process can be very difficult, either because of indifference on the part of the stakeholders towards the goals of the project or uncertainty about its usefulness, the unfamiliar approach that was used, the fact that many would-be participants were unaccustomed to participatory procedures, and especially the reluctance of stakeholders to reveal their opinions on delicate issues. In accordance with this, Rotmans et al (2000) notice the increasing importance of participation does not mean it is easy actually to include stakeholders.…”

Section: Scenariji Prema Tipovimamentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario Method in Spatial Research and Planning

Kaufmann

2016

Hrv. geogr. glas.

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Radi analize oblika scenarija koji su značajni za istraživanje i planiranje prostora te načina na koji se metoda scenarija upotrebljava u tom kontekstu na pojedinim prostornim razinama proveden je opsežan pregled literature vezane uz tipologije i primjere upotrebe metode scenarija. Prema prostornom i vremenskom okviru, svrsi i postupku izrade scenarija te izrađenim scenarijima, pobliže je analizirano jedanaest odabranih scenarijskih studija u europskim državama te devet studija u drugim svjetskim državama, opisanih u akademskim radovima. Na temelju analize tipologija scenarija izdvojeni su: a) eksplorativni, deskriptivni, prognozirajući -normativni, anticipativni, retrognozirajući scenariji, b) kvalitativni -kvantitativni, c) stručni -participativni, d) osnovni -upravljački scenariji i e) ostali tipovi scenarija. Analiza odabranih primjera upotrebe metode scenarija pokazala je posebno: prisutnost scenarija u različitim svjetskim državama i na različitim prostornim razinama, relevantnost u vrednovanju varijanti mogućega budućeg razvoja te postavljanju temelja strategija i specifičnih mjera planiranja i upravljanja, povezanost metode s integralnim pristupom prostornom razvoju, ali i regionalno i lokalno specifičnim temama te ulogu scenarija kao poveznice istraživanja u okviru znanosti o okolišu i prostornog planiranja.Ključne riječi: metoda scenarija, tipovi scenarija, istraživanje prostora, prostorno planiranje With the goal of analysing the forms of scenarios relevant for spatial research and planning, and ways in which the scenario method is contextually used at different spatial levels, a wide encompassing literature review was conducted in relation to typologies and examples of scenario method usage. Given the spatial and temporal frame, the purpose and procedure of scenario construction and resulting scenarios, eleven scenario studies in European countries and nine studies in other countries, described in published academic papers, were selected for closer analysis. On the basis of analysis of scenario typologies, underlying scenarios were recognised: a) explorative, descriptive, forecasting -normative, anticipatory, backcasting; b) qualitative -quantitative; c) expert -participatory; d) baseline -policy; and e) other types of scenarios. The analysis of selected examples of scenario method usage showed especially: the presence of the scenario method in different countries on different spatial levels; relevance in evaluating of alternatives of possible future developments and providing a firm ground for strategies and specific planning and policy measures; connections of the method to the integral approach to spatial development, but also to regionally and locally specific topics; the role of scenarios as links between environmental science research and spatial planning. UvodUobičajeno je da se pojmovi "planiranje", "razmišljanje", "prognoziranje", "analiza" i "učenje" povezuju sa scenarijima (Bradfield i dr., 2005), pojmom koji sam po sebi ima niz značenja. Upotrebljava se u različitim kontekstima: od sadrž...

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“…They argue that scenario building is 'an essential element for working on, and creating, alternative futures' and 'an important part of socio-economic analysis' [63]. Such approaches to futures thinking are well established in practitioner and policy communities [61] and have been used with reference to a broad range of issues and phenomena, including: the global economy [64]; community development [4]; urban planning [3]; technology forecasting [6]; the development of information and communication technology [69] economic sectors [49,14]; and geopolitical issues [28]. The potential value of futures thinking has been recognised by policy-makers and can be seen in aspects of policy-making [18].…”

Section: Why Consider Small Business Futures?mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Many established scenarios development methods use groups, typically of peers or experts, to identify future possibilities and their drivers and to generate and assess scenarios [60,63,61,4,3,30]. Such methodologies bring together and synthesise multiple views and perspectives based on the personal, and hence subjective, opinions and judgements of those involved [42].…”

Section: Policy Aspirations and Counterfactual Thinking As A Means Ofmentioning

confidence: 99%

A future for small business? Prospective scenarios for the development of the economy based on current policy thinking and counterfactual reasoning

Atherton

2005

Futures

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Scenario building for Metropolitan Tunis

Cited by 32 publications

References 6 publications

A participatory methodological framework for paving alternative local tourist development paths—the case of Sterea Ellada Region

A participatory methodological framework for paving alternative local tourist development paths—the case of Sterea Ellada Region

Scenario Method in Spatial Research and Planning

A future for small business? Prospective scenarios for the development of the economy based on current policy thinking and counterfactual reasoning

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