Scenario planning as a tool to manage tourism uncertainties during the era of COVID-19: a case study of Arizona, USA

Clark, Connor; Nyaupane, Gyan P.; Timothy, Dallen J.; Buzinde, Christine N.

doi:10.1080/13683500.2022.2032617

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 35 publications

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“…The relevance of the scenarios for our objective can be confirmed by a frequent use of the method in tourism research, for instance: Pongthanaisawan et al. (2018), Lennon and Yeoman (2007), Clark et al. (2022).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 67%

“…Rather than developing a specific strategy, the scenarios present perspectives, expectations and hypotheses about the investigated issues (UNDP, 2018). The relevance of the scenarios for our objective can be confirmed by a frequent use of the method in tourism research, for instance: Pongthanaisawan et al (2018), Lennon and Yeoman (2007), Clark et al (2022). Although the current literature contains several other examples, Scott and G€ ossling (2015) argue that it should be used more.…”

Section: Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 76%

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Meatless gastronomy: a threat or an opportunity for tourism development?

Lochman,

Vágner

2023

JTF

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PurposeMeat overconsumption by tourists is one of the key issues in the sustainability of tourist destinations. The objective of this paper is to assess the impact that a promotion of meatless gastronomy and its actual increased availability would have on the attractiveness and visitation of a popular European urban destination.Design/methodology/approachThe research uses an innovative foresight approach that combines environmental scanning and scenarios. The authors formulated the scenarios using the Delphi technique and working with 27 scholars whose insights into the topic were enhanced through theses that resulted from the environmental scanning. They provided their insights into how a promotion of meatless gastronomy would affect a destination. Subsequently, the authors synthetized their insights and formulated the scenarios.FindingsBased on two defined scenarios, the authors found that a meatless image represents an opportunity for the future development of an urban European destination. A long-term growth in visitor numbers can be achieved while ensuring environmental, economic and socio-cultural sustainability providing that relevant stakeholders are involved in the promotional activities.Originality/valueManagement of tourists' unsustainable eating habits is currently an unexplored issue. The present research addresses this topic and provides valuable insights that will help to address sustainability issues while making tourism destinations more attractive.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 67%

Section: Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 76%

Meatless gastronomy: a threat or an opportunity for tourism development?

Lochman,

Vágner

2023

JTF

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“…Ten questions are related to the independent variable (IV) of strategic analysis (SWOT), adapted from Benzaghta et al [29], and Gurgul [42]. Five questions are concerned with the mediator variable (MV) and scenario planning (SP) based on Chermack et al [40] and Calrk et al [50]. And eleven questions were designed to measure the dependent variable (IV) (organizational performance) (OP) using the Balance Scorecard's four perspectives based on Wiraeus and Creelman [51] and Tirtayasa and Imaroh [15].…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Bowman and MacKay [49] provided insights on the association between scenario planning and the ability of strategic management to achieve the intended organisational strategic objectives. Clark et al [50] commented that over time the role of scenario planning in reducing ambiguity and uncertainty has increased and that scenario planning expands managers' awareness of potential risks and critical success factors to maintain a satisfactory level of organisational performance. According to the above-mentioned studies, H3 can be formulated as follows: H3: There is a statistically significant impact of scenario planning on organizational performance.…”

Section: The Relationship Between Scenario Planning and Organizationa...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Strategic Analysis (SWOT) on the Performance of Jordanian Public Shareholding Industrial Companies: The Mediating Role of Scenario Planning

Bakir¹

2023

IJSDP

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This study aims to examine the impact of strategic analysis (SWOT) on the organizational performance of Jordanian public shareholding industrial companies, taking into consideration the mediating role of scenario planning. The study's sample includes 38 companies out of the 54 operating at the Jordanian financial market. From each company, the functional managers are selected to represent the sampling unit of the study. The questionnaire is employed as the fundamental instrument for collecting the required information and data. A total of 165 questionnaires were distributed, and 151 were statistically significant. Smart PLS (3) program was utilized for statistical analysis. The results reveal that the surveyed companies are engaged in both SWOT analysis and scenario planning, and they are aware of the critical role of the two variables in enhancing organizational performance, particularly after the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, the findings of the study show that scenario planning has a partial impact in the effect of SWOT analysis on companies' performance. Besides, the study sheds light on the significance of strategic analysis and recommends relying on more than one type of analysis and developing human resources with strategic thinking skills to be able to conduct scenario planning and build convenient strategies.

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“…For example, many consumers have become more concerned about hygiene and safety, and businesses that can offer reassurance in these areas will likely be more successful. For example, the importance of keeping the infrastructure clean in places of recreation as well as communicating health and hygiene standards among tourists and staff were identified as determining factors for COVID-19 recovery, as well as the implementation of health policies and protocols (McCartney et al, 2021;Spenceley et al, 2021;Clark et al, 2022). Research has shown that businesses that are able to adapt to changes in consumer behavior are more likely to succeed in the post-pandemic landscape (Park et al, 2020).…”

Section: Resiliencementioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated stakeholder-centered tourism crisis

Pennington-Gray,

Basurto-Cedeno

2023

Front. Sustain. Tour.

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IntroductionThe present work demonstrates how non-traditional tourism stakeholders' inclusion in planning and decision-making improves connectivity and helps to achieve resilience in rural tourist destinations. The geographical and temporal context for the study is the sector of El Balsamo in Manabi-Ecuador, during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodThe methodology applied is a case study with data collection through interviews and applying the MERITS method to identify recurring themes when various stakeholders' opinions are included.Results and discussionThe results of this study show the importance of inclusion and effective communication in building trust and long-term alliances in destination recovery processes. This study makes evident how the creation of networks and partnerships leveraged on effective communication and the prioritization of common objectives allows the permanence of these networks even after the crisis has been overcome.

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Scenario planning as a tool to manage tourism uncertainties during the era of COVID-19: a case study of Arizona, USA

Cited by 12 publications

References 35 publications

Meatless gastronomy: a threat or an opportunity for tourism development?

Meatless gastronomy: a threat or an opportunity for tourism development?

Impact of Strategic Analysis (SWOT) on the Performance of Jordanian Public Shareholding Industrial Companies: The Mediating Role of Scenario Planning

Integrated stakeholder-centered tourism crisis

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