2017
DOI: 10.1017/s002210901600082x
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Seasonal Asset Allocation: Evidence from Mutual Fund Flows

Abstract: We analyze the flow of money between mutual fund categories, finding strong evidence of seasonality in investor risk aversion. Aggregate investor flow data reveal an investor preference for safe mutual funds in autumn and risky funds in spring. During September alone, outflows from equity funds average $13 billion, controlling for previously documented flow determinants (e.g., capital-gains overhang). This movement of large amounts of money between fund categories is correlated with seasonality in investor ris… Show more

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Cited by 90 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…Investors move money into relatively safe fund categories during the autumn and into riskier fund categories during the spring. Therefore, flows to fund categories are strongly dependent on the season as well as on the relative riskiness of the categories (Kamstra, Kramer, Levi, and Wermers, 2015).…”
Section: Influence Of Performance On Three Months' Flowsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Investors move money into relatively safe fund categories during the autumn and into riskier fund categories during the spring. Therefore, flows to fund categories are strongly dependent on the season as well as on the relative riskiness of the categories (Kamstra, Kramer, Levi, and Wermers, 2015).…”
Section: Influence Of Performance On Three Months' Flowsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…By examining the direct measure of investor sentiment, Indro (2004) finds that fund flows are higher when individual investors become more bullish. Recently, Kamstra, Kramer, Levi, and Wermers (2010) argue that the investor's risk aversion would vary across different seasons, resulting in seasonal patterns in fund flows. Seasonal patterns in fund flows may not have a substantial influence on the empirical studies if annual fund flows are examined.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To better understand the mechanisms behind this effect, future research should investigate the causes of fluctuations in liquidity. Kamstra et al (2017), e.g., argue that mood changes may influence risk aversion during a year. While they suggest that mood changes influence stock return through fund flows, we could imagine that behavioral patterns can also explain fluctuations in liquidity.…”
Section: Impact Of Us News Announcements On Return Seasonalitymentioning
confidence: 99%