Background:
The protection conferred by influenza vaccination is generally thought to last less than a year, necessitating annual re-vaccination. However, the speed with which influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) might decline during a year is unknown. This is of particular importance for locations with year-round influenza activity.
Methods:
We analysed data from a test-negative study of influenza VE in hospitalized children in Hong Kong over five consecutive years. We examined how VE changed by time between vaccination and hospitalisation.
Findings:
We analysed data on 15,695 children admitted from September 2012 through August 2017. Among study participants, the majority of vaccinations occurred in the final quarter of each year. Influenza admissions occurred year-round with peaks in January through March in most years and a large summer peak in 2016. We estimated that VE against influenza A or B decreased from 79% (95% CI: 64%−88%) for children vaccinated within 0.5 to 2 months, to 60% (95% CI: 46%−71%) within 2 to 4 months, to 57% (95% CI: 39%−70%) within 4–6 months of vaccination, and to 45% (95% CI: 22%−61%) within 6–9 months of vaccination. In separate analyses by type/subtype, we estimated that VE declined by 2–5 percentage points per month.
Interpretation:
We observed clear evidence of reductions in VE during the 9 months after vaccination in children. Our findings confirm the importance of annual vaccination in children. Influenza vaccines that provide broader and longer-lasting protection are needed to provide year-round protection in regions with irregular influenza seasonality or prolonged periods of influenza activity.