H ypertension affects from 20% to 30% of the world population. 1,2 Blood pressure is the most consistent and powerful predictor of stroke. Population mortality trends for stroke parallel those in hypertension. 3,4 A systolic blood pressure Ͼ115 mm Hg explains 60% of the population-attributable risk of stroke. 5 In the Framingham cohort, 6 the lifetime risk of stroke at ages 55, 65, and 75 years was similar, approximating 1 in 5 for women and 1 in 6 for men. In many countries, such as China, 7 stroke is the third cause of death only preceded by heart disease and total cancer. Two thirds of stroke deaths occur in developing nations. 8 According to recent estimates published by the World Health Organization, worldwide, Ϸ15 million people per year fall victim to a stroke, of whom Ϸ5 million die and another Ϸ5 million are left permanently disabled. 1 From this vantage point, we reviewed the recent literature to underscore the deadly but reversible link between stroke and blood pressure.
Role of Blood Pressure Among Other Risk Factors Nonmodifiable Risk FactorsNonwhite ethnicity, male sex, older age, and a positive family history are among the nonmodifiable risk factors of stroke. 9,10 Monogenic stroke disorders, 11 such as, for instance, cerebral autosomal dominant arteriopathy with subcortical infarcts and leukoencephalopathy, 12 are extremely rare. In the vast majority of cases, stroke has a polygenic background associated with proven or suspected variation in the genes contributing to hypertension, carotid intima-media thickness, vascular remodeling, small vessel disease, 13 inflammation, oxidative stress, dyslipidemia, or the generation of angiotensin II. 14,15 Small vessel disease of the brain underlies 20% to 30% of ischemic strokes and a larger proportion of intracerebral hemorrhages. 13
Modifiable Risk FactorsSmoking, 1,9,10 excessive alcohol intake (Ͼ60 g per day), 9,10,16 obesity, 9,10 dyslipidemia, 9,10 diabetes mellitus, 9,17 carotid artery disease, 9,10 atrial fibrillation, heart failure, and other forms of heart disease 1,9 are treatable risk factors for stroke.However, among the modifiable risk indicators, high blood pressure has by far the largest impact. 1,9 In a quantitative overview of 61 cohort studies, the Prospective Studies Collaboration demonstrated a strong log-linear relation without threshold between stroke mortality and blood pressure (Figure 1A), starting at levels of 115 mm Hg systolic and 75 mm Hg diastolic and consistent across the age range (50 to 89 years). 18 At ages 40 to 69 years, each difference in blood pressure of 20 mm Hg systolic or 10 mm Hg diastolic was associated with a Ͼ2-fold difference in stroke mortality. 18 More recently, the Asian Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration reported that in both sexes systolic blood pressure ( Figure 1B) tended to be more predictive than diastolic blood pressure in all age groups with the exception of men Ͻ50 years. 19,20
Stroke Prediction From Automated Blood Pressure MeasurementsProspective observational 21,22 and intervention 23 studies ...