Abstract. Vulnerability is a complex concept involving a variety of disciplines from
both the physical and socio-economic sciences. Currently, two opposite trends
exist: the physical approach in which vulnerability is analysed as a sum of
potential impacts on elements at risk and the social approach in which
vulnerability is mostly viewed as a combination of socio-economic variables
determining people's ability to anticipate, cope with and recover from a
catastrophic event. Finding a way to combine these two approaches is a key
issue for a global vulnerability assessment. In this paper we propose to
combine elements from these two approaches through the analysis of the
potential consequences of a high-magnitude flood event
(recurrence interval (RI) > 100 years) on human and material stakeholders. To perform
our analysis, we choose to upgrade an existing index, the Potential
Damage Index (PDI; Puissant et al., 2013), by including social criteria. The
PDI was originally developed to assess the physical consequences of hazards on
the elements at risk (people, building and lands). It is based on the
calculation of three sub-indices representing different types of direct and
indirect consequences: physical injury consequences (PIC), structural and
functional consequences (SFC), indirect functional consequences (IC). Here,
we propose to add a fourth sub-index representing the social consequences.
This new sub-index, called social consequences (SC) is obtained by combining
criteria derived from INSEE French census data and a risk-perception survey
conducted in the field. By combining the four indices (PIC, SFC, IC and SC), we
managed to create a new index called the Potential Consequences
Index (PCI). The new PCI was tested on the Upper Guil catchment to
assess the consequences of a high-magnitude flood event
(RI > 100 years). Results of the PDI were compared with the
PCI and show significant differences. The upgrade to the PDI method
provided us with many inputs. The introduction of elements from social
vulnerability added an extra dimension to the total consequence map. It
allowed us to qualify the potential physical consequences (physical injury,
structural and functional consequences) on elements at risk by considering the
global resilience of local communities.