Selection procedures in sports: Improving predictions of athletes’ future performance

Hartigh, Ruud den; Niessen, A. Susan M.; Frencken, Wouter; Meijer, Rob R.

doi:10.1080/17461391.2018.1480662

Cited by 65 publications

(91 citation statements)

References 83 publications

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“…In general, the results of the study are consistent with the results of other studies on the theoretical basis and prognostic validity of sports selection procedures (Coetzee et al, 2015;Hartigh et al, 2018). The implementation of the selection in sports, taking into account the fact that we know from the scientific literature to determine the prospects of an athlete is divided into five main areas.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 87%

“…The problem of sports selection has been developed since the mid-20th century. and still remains relevant (Hartigh et al, 2018). At the same time, there are different, sometimes diametrically opposite, views on its solution .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These studies use correlation analysis to identify the relationship between the subject's achievements at different stages of life (Barreiros et al, 2014;Coetzee et al, 2015). There are very few such long-term studies due to the high dropout rates of sportsmen (Hartigh et al, 2018). Given the difficulty of determining the stability of sports characteristics on the basis of long-term observations, one can recognize as relevant the method of studying sports biographies of athletes of various classes (Lyons et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Sports selection in martial arts based on the harmonic stability of results at competitions

Nagovitsyn¹,

Zekrin²,

Fendel³

et al. 2019

Journal of Human Sport and Exercise - 2019 - Spring Conferences of Sports Science

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The aim of the study: to develop a new approach to sports selection in martial arts based on the analysis of the harmonic stability of the results of fighters in competitions during a sports career. Study participants: Greco-Roman wrestlers of different qualifications (n = 114). Research methods: based on the method of studying sports biographies of athletes, mathematical-statistical data processing was carried out using Student's t-criterion. The arithmetic average and harmonic average performance of each Greco-Roman style athlete of different qualifications. The smaller the deviation of the mean harmonic value from the arithmetic average performance of a fighter, the more stable his competitive result. The results of the study. As a result of the analysis, it was revealed that the higher the qualification of an athlete, the more reliable the nonsignificance of the difference in results between the arithmetic and average harmonic indices during a sports career is revealed. Findings. The proposed in the study a new approach to sports selection based on the analysis of the harmonic stability of the results of wrestlers at competitions allows to reliably identify the prospects of a wrestler.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 87%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Sports selection in martial arts based on the harmonic stability of results at competitions

Nagovitsyn¹,

Zekrin²,

Fendel³

et al. 2019

Journal of Human Sport and Exercise - 2019 - Spring Conferences of Sports Science

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…It should also discuss the tests applied in the selection process for martial arts schools. Most of the tests allow the evaluation of physical [19], technical [15], physiological [12] and psychological skills of candidates in controlled conditions [14]. In Russian wrestling schools, the testing procedure is the performance of certain standards for the physical and functional fitness of candidates.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The batteries of special tests are applied in the selection for various types of martial arts [12,13]. However, it is revealed the lack of specialists' attention to the theoretical foundations and prognostic validity of selection procedures among young athletes [14].…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Determination of the dependence of competitive results on the procedure of sports selection among Greco-Roman wrestlers

Nagovitsyn

Osipov

Kapustin

et al. 2019

PPS

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Introduction : the problems of sports selection and selection of prospective children in martial arts schools are quite relevant in the sports practice. It was revealed the use of various selection techniques in the practice of martial arts. There is no unified methodological system for selection in martial arts schools. The purpose of the study : to determine the dependence of the dynamics of sports results of elite athletes on the procedure of sports selection (for example, the Greco-Roman wrestling). Material and methods : elite Greco-Roman wrestlers (n = 114) took part in the research. Age of athletes: 25-45 years. Qualification: International masters of sport (n = 8), masters of sport (n = 49), candidates in masters of sport (n = 57). Athletes filled out a diagnostic card with data on the procedure of sports selection. It was indicated the dynamics of competitive results during the sports career. Indicators of performance and stability of athletes were calculated applying the mathematical statistics methods ( ). The reliability of the results was determined by Student's t-test. Results : Data analysis showed that a significant part of athletes did not pass the selection procedure (n = 23). Many athletes passed only a partial selection procedure (n = 39). Some athletes did not pass the selection procedure. These athletes are not inferior in terms of stability to athletes who passed the selection at the 1st and 2nd levels of competitive results. In subsequent competitions, these athletes demonstrated the reliable (P <0.05) decrease in indicators of stability in comparison with other athletes. It was revealed a significant (P <0.05) advantage in indicators of stability among athletes who passed a partial selection procedure at the 4th level of competitive results. Conclusions : It was found the dependence of stability indicators at high levels of competitive results on the selection procedure of athletes. The athletes who passed the selection procedure demonstrate higher stability at high levels of competitive results. It was revealed a formal attitude to the selection procedure in some coaches and specialists. The trainers do not pay due attention to the indicators of maintaining body balance and coordination abilities during the selection of candidates. It has been revealed that the motor tests applied in the selection procedure do not allow an objective assessment of the potential of athletes' competitive achievements.

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Predicting special forces dropout via explainable machine learning

Huijzer,

de Jonge,

Blaauw

et al. 2024

European Journal of Sport Science

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Selecting the right individuals for a sports team, organization, or military unit has a large influence on the achievements of the organization. However, the approaches commonly used for selection are either not reporting predictive performance or not explainable (i.e., black box models). In the present study, we introduce a novel approach to selection research, using various machine learning models. We examined 274 special forces recruits, of whom 196 dropped out, who performed a set of physical and psychological tests. On this data, we compared four machine learning models on their predictive performance, explainability, and stability. We found that a stable rule‐based (SIRUS) model was most suitable for classifying dropouts from the special forces selection program. With an averaged area under the curve score of 0.70, this model had good predictive performance, while remaining explainable and stable. Furthermore, we found that both physical and psychological variables were related to dropout. More specifically, a higher score on the 2800 m time, need for connectedness, and skin folds was most strongly associated with dropping out. We discuss how researchers and practitioners can benefit from these insights in sport and performance contexts.

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Selection procedures in sports: Improving predictions of athletes’ future performance

Cited by 65 publications

References 83 publications

Sports selection in martial arts based on the harmonic stability of results at competitions

Sports selection in martial arts based on the harmonic stability of results at competitions

Determination of the dependence of competitive results on the procedure of sports selection among Greco-Roman wrestlers

Predicting special forces dropout via explainable machine learning

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