The purpose of this study is to investigate the modeling of conflict early warning system through social identity consists of categorization, group identification, and group bias. This study uses a quantitative approach to modifying the three methods: a structural model, type sequential models, types conjunctual models.. This Study involve 279 of member of Paguyuban Petani Lahan Pantai Kulon Progo as respondents that was chosen through proportion random sampling. Analysis to used second order confirmatory factor analysis resulted in the finding that social identity consisting of categorization, group identification, and group bias proved to be a predictor conflict. According to the particularities of the early warning system can be given a recommendation as a preventive measure so that that conflict does not escalate into manifest. Recommendations can be given more attention is the dimension of group bias due to give the largest contribution as forming a social identity by minimizing group bias. The Precautions taken are the outsiders were able to establish cooperation with the farmers. Out group helpful as a comparison without group. Out group are groups that become the reference for farmers. Reference of out group is to decrease the group bias.Keywords: categorization, conflict early warning system, group bias, group identification, social identity
AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk melakukan pemodelan dengan prediktor identitas sosial terdiri dari kategorisasi, identifikasi kelompok, dan bias kelompok. Dalam rangka mencapai tujuan penelitian bahwa penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan memodifikasi tiga metode yaitu model struktural, type sequential models, dan type conjunctual model. Adapun populasi penelitian adalah anggota Paguyuban Petani Lahan Pantai Kulon Progo. Pengambilan sampel dalam penelitian dengan proporsi area random sampling. Responden berjumlah 279. Analisis model menggunakan second order confirmatory factor analysis menghasilkan temuan bahwa identitas sosial yang terdiri dari kategorisasi, identifikasi kelompok, dan bias kelompok terbukti menjadi prediktor konflik. Sesuai kekhasan sistem peringatan dini sebagai tindakan preventif, maka berdasarkan hasil penelitian merekomendasikan lebih memperhatikan dimensi bias kelompok karena memberi kontribusi terbesar sebagai pembentuk identitas sosial.