2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.actaastro.2018.05.043
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Sensitivity analysis of launch activities in Low Earth Orbit

Abstract: This work aims to investigate the response of the low Earth orbit environment to the change in number and distribution of new launches and to understand the effects of the size and post-mission lifetime of a large constellation of spacecraft. The analysis presented in this paper were carried out using MISSD, Model to Investigate control Strategies for Space Debris, a multi-shell, and multi-species source-sink statistical model able to simulate the injection, removal and interaction of six type of objects up to… Show more

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Cited by 21 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…We focus on long-run orbit use by competitive satellite operators. 3 As such, we abstract from the details of orbital-use dynamics and focus on two properties of orbit use established in Somma, Lewis and Colombo (2019), Lewis (2020), and Rao and Rondina (2022). First, the long-run collision risk is a function of the long-run launch rate, with higher launch rates implying greater collision risk.…”
Section: Model and Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We focus on long-run orbit use by competitive satellite operators. 3 As such, we abstract from the details of orbital-use dynamics and focus on two properties of orbit use established in Somma, Lewis and Colombo (2019), Lewis (2020), and Rao and Rondina (2022). First, the long-run collision risk is a function of the long-run launch rate, with higher launch rates implying greater collision risk.…”
Section: Model and Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When the satellite is transferring its orbit, the change of orbit altitude should be limited to a reasonable range to ensure the stable operation of the satellite. As the satellite altitude is typically between 250 and 1300 km [43], constraint (28) is carried out to limit the satellite altitude after maneuvering. Constraint ( 29) is used to ensure that the observation moment lies in the sunshine time window.…”
Section: Formulation Of the Optimization Problemmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Somma et al (2019) use the following equation to depict the total population of objects N T at every discrete time t k in a specific altitude shell h: Where the subscripts AP, IP, RB, MR, CO and EX refer to the objects of the following categories respectively: active payloads, inactive payloads, rocket bodies, mission related objects, collision and explosion. A report by ESA provides an overview of the actual numbers of objects, categorised by absolute number, mass and area in geocentric orbit by object class, but also makes a clear disclaimer that their data is limited to: catalogued and asserted objects, and hence at any given epoch limited to the capability of the space surveillance system in use at the time.…”
Section: Focus On Space Debris As Case Of Space Regulationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The number of near-Earth objects is space is rapidly increasing. Somma et al (2019) describe and model how these numbers are increasing and indicate various reasons. Essentially, launches, explosions and collisions create new objects.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%