With the increasing complexity of
production technologies,
alarm
management becomes more and more important in industrial process control.
The overall safety of the plant relies heavily on the situation-aware
response time of the staff. This kind of awareness has to be supported
by a state-of-the-art alarm management system, which requires broad
and up-to-date process-relevant knowledge. The proposed method provides
a solution when such information is not fully available. With the
utilization of machine learning algorithms, a real-time event scenario
prediction can be gained by comparing the frequent event patterns
extracted from historical event-log data with the actual online data
stream. This study discusses an integrated solution, which combines
sequence compression and sequence alignment to predict the most probable
alarm progression. The effectiveness and limitations of the proposed
method are tested using the data of an industrial delayed-coker plant.
The results confirm that the presented parameter-free method identifies
the characteristic patternsoperational statesand their
progression with high confidence in real time, suggesting it for a
wider adoption for sequence analysis.