2021
DOI: 10.1115/1.4049624
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Short-Term Prediction of Global Solar Radiation Energy Using Weather Data and Machine Learning Ensembles: A Comparative Study

Abstract: The ability to predict solar radiation one-day-ahead is critical for the best management of renewable energy tied-grids. Several machine learning ensemble techniques have been proposed to enhance the short-term prediction of solar radiation strength. In general, finding an optimal ensemble model that consists of combining individual predictors is not trivial due to the need of tuning and other related issues. Few comparative studies have been presented to obtain optimal structures of machine learning ensemble … Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…Sometimes the performance of machine learning models, that are used separately, is not as promising as expected. Therefore, multiple machine learning models can be integrated and employed in a unified ensemble model to achieve better performance [35]. To realize this ensemble model, the simplest approach is to average the outputs of the trained machine learning models to calculate the final output.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Sometimes the performance of machine learning models, that are used separately, is not as promising as expected. Therefore, multiple machine learning models can be integrated and employed in a unified ensemble model to achieve better performance [35]. To realize this ensemble model, the simplest approach is to average the outputs of the trained machine learning models to calculate the final output.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To integrate the prediction outputs of base classifiers, three stacking strategies have been explored and likened: feed-forward artificial neural network, support vector regressors, and k-nearest neighbor regressors [113]. The majority of the stacking models studied were seen to be capable of predicting Solar radiation.…”
Section: Machine Learning Techniquesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In literature, researchers combine two or model machine learning models to enhance the performance and overcome the disadvantages of single weak learners (base models). These model combinations are called ensemble models [35]. The simple form of the ensemble is an average ensemble that calculates its output using the average of outputs of base models.…”
Section: Machine Learning Ensemblementioning
confidence: 99%