2015
DOI: 10.1177/0972150915591626
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Should Analysts Go by the Book? Valuation Models and Target Price Accuracy in an Emerging Market

Abstract: Discounted cash flow (DCF)-based target price forecasts have the highest target price accuracy (TPA) of 70 per cent, while book value-based forecasts have the lowest TPA of 51.1 per cent for buy recommendations in India. Surprisingly, despite its superior performance, DCF is the least used valuation model as analysts prefer heuristics-driven earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) or earnings multiples to produce target price forecasts. A significant and negative relationship wi… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
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“…1). Sayed (2015) states that market analyst prefers to use heuristics-driven earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…1). Sayed (2015) states that market analyst prefers to use heuristics-driven earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition to Rappaport's shareholder value approach, the economic value-added concept (EVA), the discounted cash flow method (DCF) and the cash flow added (CVA) and so on have been used since the 1990s (Ebeling, 2007, p. 1). Sayed (2015) stated that market analyst prefers to use heuristics-driven earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Due to the neglect of other stakeholders, the exclusive orientation towards the owners' interests, as outlined earlier, has partly been subject to critical assessment (Skrzipek, 2005, p. 124).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…According to Chalmers Navissi, and Qu (2010), improvement to accounting standards is regarded as an important pillar of any economic reforms that aim at more efficient functioning of capital markets. Studies analysing managerial discretion in different accounting regimes claim that degree of freedom permitted in accounting standards determines the quality of financial reports (e.g., Dye & Sunder, 2001; Goncharov & Zimmermann, 2006; Sayed, 2015). According to Goncharov and Zimmermann (2006), different accounting standards provide different accounting choices, applications of which, therefore, results in different financial reporting quality.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%