2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.12.019
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Social vulnerability projections improve sea-level rise risk assessments

Abstract: Rising seas will impact millions of coastal residents in coming decades. The vulnerability of coastal populations exposed to inundation will be greater for some sub-populations due to differences in their socio-demographic characteristics. Many climate risk and vulnerability assessments, however, model current populations against future environments. We advance sealevel rise risk assessments by dynamically modeling environmental change and sociodemographic change. We project three scenarios of inundation expos… Show more

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Cited by 51 publications
(37 citation statements)
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“…Although there is significant variability by region in projected SLR rates, global rates by 2100 predicted by the IPCC AR5 report ranged from 28-61 to 52-98 cm, depending on emission scenarios. SLR will impact millions of coastal residents over the coming decades [7] and there is a strong need for accurate elevation models to characterize vulnerability to SLR for both the built environment, as well as coastal habitats such as dunes, beaches, and wetlands, which can act as natural defenses against SLR.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although there is significant variability by region in projected SLR rates, global rates by 2100 predicted by the IPCC AR5 report ranged from 28-61 to 52-98 cm, depending on emission scenarios. SLR will impact millions of coastal residents over the coming decades [7] and there is a strong need for accurate elevation models to characterize vulnerability to SLR for both the built environment, as well as coastal habitats such as dunes, beaches, and wetlands, which can act as natural defenses against SLR.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A new ecological drought metric could also be included in this proposed CEII, incorporating recent work in the literature that seeks to encompass the full dimensions of drought impacts, from ecosystem services to agricultural and socioeconomic impacts (Crausbay et al ., ). Recent work has also been done on the uneven impacts of climate change on vulnerable populations, and on exploring this differential vulnerability with socioeconomic variables (Hardy and Hauer, ; Thomas et al ., ). Thus the CEI could be a solely meteorological index, while the CEII would incorporate socioeconomic, hydrological, and ecological dimensions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Overall, the majority of the literature is nonetheless supporting the assumption that gender determines both people's capacities (Gaillard et al, 2018, p. 5) as well as their vulnerability and exposure to hazards (Cutter & Emrich, 2006;Fatemi et al, 2017;Hardy & Hauer, 2018;Lee, 2014;. Only Fekete (2009a) and doubt that female gender is necessarily related to higher vulnerability.…”
Section: Gender and Gender Relationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This gets even worse when they are living alone (Fatemi et al, ; Tragaki et al, ). Older people are mostly seen as being highly vulnerable and their presence as increasing social vulnerability (Adeola, ; Cutter et al, ; Cutter & Finch, ; Donner & Rodriguez, ; Fekete, , ; Gamble et al, ; Hardy & Hauer, ; He et al ; Lee, ). Only their anticipatory behavior and their extensive experience (as important source of information; Koks et al, ) are mentioned as potentially reducing vulnerability to natural hazards.…”
Section: The Linkages Between Demographic and Natural Hazards Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%