Spatial conservation prioritization to conserve biodiversity in response to sea level rise and land use change in the Matanzas River Basin, Northeast Florida

Zhu, Mingjian; Hoctor, Thomas S.; Volk, Mike; Frank, Kathryn I.; Zwick, Paul D.; Carr, Margaret H.; Linhoss, Anna

doi:10.1016/j.landurbplan.2015.08.018

Cited by 15 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Coastal natural resources, particularly those in low-lying floodplains, are threatened by the most certain, immediate, and widespread result of anthropogenic climate change-accelerated sea-level rise [1,2]. The global sea level rose at an average rate of 3.2 mm yr −1 between 1993 and 2010 [3], which was up from the rate of 2.0 mm yr −1 between 1971 and 2010.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rapid Coastal Forest Decline in Florida’s Big Bend

McCarthy

Dimmitt²,

Muller‐Karger

2018

Remote Sensing

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Coastal ecosystems throughout the world are increasingly vulnerable to degradation as a result of accelerating sea-level rise and saltwater intrusion, more frequent and powerful extreme weather events, and anthropogenic impacts. Hardwood swamp forests in the Big Bend region of Florida’s Gulf of Mexico coast (USA) are largely devoid of the latter, but have degraded rapidly since the turn of the 21st Century. Photographs of the forest, collected on the ground since 2009, were used to guide an analysis of a 60 km2 study area using satellite images. The images confirm that the coastal forest area declined 0.60% from 1982 to 2003, but degraded rapidly, by 7.44%, from 2010 to 2017. The forest declined most rapidly along waterways and at the coastal marsh–forest boundary. Additional time series of aerial-photographs corroborated the onset of degradation in 2010. Degradation continued through 2017 with no apparent recovery. Previous research from the area has concluded that increased tidal flooding and saltwater intrusion, of the coastal plain, represent a chronic stress driving coastal forest decline in this region, but these drivers do not explain the abrupt acceleration in forest die-off. Local tide gage data indicate that sea-level rise is 2 mm yr−1 and accelerating, while meteorological data reveal at least two short-term cold snap events, with extreme temperatures exceeding the reported temperature threshold of local vegetation (−10 °C) between January 2010 and January 2011, followed by more extremes in 2016. The Big Bend hardwood forest experienced acute cold snap stress during the 2010–2017 period, of a magnitude not experienced in the previous 20 years, that compounded the chronic stress associated with sea-level rise and saltwater intrusion. This and other coastal forests can be expected to suffer further widespread and lasting degradation as these stresses are likely to be sustained.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Rapid Coastal Forest Decline in Florida’s Big Bend

McCarthy

Dimmitt²,

Muller‐Karger

2018

Remote Sensing

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“…Sensitivity of priority maps to two additional factors were tested. First, species' dispersal rates (km/yr) were obtained using the allometric relationships presented in Warren et al (2013) and Zhu et al (2015). Second, we undertook Principal Component Analysis (PCA) over a set of important factors which relate both to the exposure and the vulnerability of species to climate and land-use changes: (a) adult body size (Injeti and Kumar, 2013;Hamer et al, 2015) , where M is the whole set of grid-cells in the region and st s i,pres refers to the suitability score of grid-cell i for species s at present-time.…”

Section: Area Prioritisationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Protected areas in Central Mexico - are they fit in promoting species persistence under climate and land use changes?

Chacón-Prieto

Rodríguez‐Soto²,

Cuervo-Robayo

et al. 2021

Biological Conservation

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Protected areas are among the most widely accepted methods to set aside biodiversity from their most impinging threats. However, protected areas are not always located such that their positive impacts over biodiversity are maximized. This drawback is especially significant and uncontrolled when intense climate-change dynamics stresses local biodiversity equilibrium. This study aims to weight plausible evolutive scenarios (up to 2040) of PA-effectiveness to secure the most suitable climates for 94 vertebrate species in Central Mexico, a region that, historically, has faced large biodiversity turnover rates. Effectiveness was appraised at two scales. For a set of species, effectiveness expresses the spatial matching of established protected areas (ePAs) with top priority areas (T17) obtained from an optmised area-selection protocol. For each single species, effectiveness relates the predicted trends of climate suitable areas within ePAs/T17 with trends outside ePAs/T17. Results show that aprox.54% of ePAs area occur within T17 and species present variable responses, with suitability gains up to 10% and potential climate suitability losses of aprox.30% within ePAs. A considerable high amount of T17 (aprox.74%) is left unprotected. By assuming the high-valued component of past conservation efforts, this study delivers a double-guidance for planners and decision-makers. First, it pinpoints the ePAs that will demand further conservation investments in the upcoming years. Second, it identifies the unprotected regions where most active conservation actions are needed to supplement ePAs for a climate-effective protected area network. The framework here-proposed gives decision-makers the means to undertake effective and robust decisions in a dynamic and uncertain world.

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“…的资助下，位于美国佛罗里达州的瓜纳-特罗马特-马坦萨斯国家级河口研究保护区(以下简称"马坦萨斯保护区")联合佛罗里达大学开展了海平面上升对自然保护区的影响评价及保护区应对海平面上升的适应性策略研究 [19] [20] 。流域范围包括圣奥古斯丁市和棕榈海滩镇之间的区域，以及河流西岸的大片农田区。整 ecosystems [8] . Coastal wetlands might be submerged by sea water or move into inland, but the movement is often limited by the existing or potential built-up areas [9] [10] .…”

Section: Challenges Brought By Sea Level Riseunclassified

“…Located on the Atlantic coast in northeast Florida, Matanzas River basin is one of the areas highly threatened by sea level rise along the Florida coast [20] . The basin consists of the area between St. Agustin and Palm Coast, and the large farmland on the western bank of the river.…”

Section: Research Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Biodiversity Conservation Planning Adaptive to Sea Level Rise: The Case of the Guana Tolomato Matanzas National Estuarine Research Reserve in Florida

Zhu¹,

Xi²,

Li³

2017

Landsc. Archit. Front.

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Currently, sea level rise becomes one of the biggest threats to biodiversity conservation in low-lying coastal areas, and coastal conservation areas need to be optimized to the rising sea level. This paper introduces the case of the Guana Tolomato Matanzas National Estuarine Research Reserve in Florida, which shows that the key conservation areas adaptive to sea level rise can be identified by modeling with integrated protection planning. Combining the American case's lessons, the paper further comes up with suggestions on biodiversity protection adaptive to sea level rise for China's coastal cities and regions.

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Spatial conservation prioritization to conserve biodiversity in response to sea level rise and land use change in the Matanzas River Basin, Northeast Florida

Cited by 15 publications

References 28 publications

Rapid Coastal Forest Decline in Florida’s Big Bend

Rapid Coastal Forest Decline in Florida’s Big Bend

Protected areas in Central Mexico - are they fit in promoting species persistence under climate and land use changes?

Biodiversity Conservation Planning Adaptive to Sea Level Rise: The Case of the Guana Tolomato Matanzas National Estuarine Research Reserve in Florida

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