2003
DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0706.2003.12169.x
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Spatial synchrony of the two‐year cycle budworm outbreaks in central British Columbia, Canada

Abstract: R. I. 2003. Spatial synchrony of the two-year cycle budworm outbreaks in central British Columbia, Canada. -Oikos 102: 146-154.Outbreaks of forest defoliating insects are usually synchronized over a large spatial scale. Observed records of past outbreaks are usually short and incomplete, therefore long proxy data are useful for better understanding of the spatial synchrony. In this study, we developed tree-ring proxy records of two-year cycle spruce budworm (Choristoneura biennis Freeman) outbreaks in central … Show more

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Cited by 44 publications
(37 citation statements)
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“…These reveal that the spruce budworm has been resident in northern forest ecosystems of Canada for at least 8500 years and outbreaks have been recurrent for at least the past four centuries. There is also evidence of outbreaks of western and two-year cycle spruce budworms for several centuries (Zhang and Alfaro 2002;Alfaro et al 2014). Interpreting these patterns assembled from a combination of direct and indirect evidence gathered at different scales and variable sampling intensities is hazardous in detail (Régnière and Lysyk 1995) but nonetheless represents our best evidence of historical population patterns.…”
Section: Spatial and Temporal Patternsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…These reveal that the spruce budworm has been resident in northern forest ecosystems of Canada for at least 8500 years and outbreaks have been recurrent for at least the past four centuries. There is also evidence of outbreaks of western and two-year cycle spruce budworms for several centuries (Zhang and Alfaro 2002;Alfaro et al 2014). Interpreting these patterns assembled from a combination of direct and indirect evidence gathered at different scales and variable sampling intensities is hazardous in detail (Régnière and Lysyk 1995) but nonetheless represents our best evidence of historical population patterns.…”
Section: Spatial and Temporal Patternsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Historical evidence for budworm outbreaks has been reconstructed by study of growth rings in trees (e.g., Blais 1954Blais , 1965aBurleigh et al 2002;Zhang and Alfaro 2002;Alfaro et al 2014), lumber in old buildings (Krause 1997;Boulanger et al 2012), insect remains in sediments (Simard et al 2006), and defoliation surveys (Kettela 1983;Volney 1988;Parfett et al 1994;Simpson and Coy 1999). These reveal that the spruce budworm has been resident in northern forest ecosystems of Canada for at least 8500 years and outbreaks have been recurrent for at least the past four centuries.…”
Section: Spatial and Temporal Patternsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We then fit a spline curve with a frequency response period of 20 years over each series and tested 10 year windows of forward to backward spline values for years with a doubling of radial growth. The spline helped to remove the effects of sudden, short-term suppression/recovery events, while the 10 year window and 200% release threshold ensured that flagged events would be sufficiently longer and higher in magnitude than typical budworm recoveries (Zhang and Alfaro 2002) or responses to interannual climate variability. The length of the final release chronologies was determined by the interval containing at least 5 recording trees.…”
Section: Data Collection and Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This produced corrected index series emphasizing only deviations from baseline growth unique to the disturbed sites. This is common practice in outbreak reconstructions for defoliators such as the two-year cycle budworm (Zhang and Alfaro 2003), larch sawfly (Girardin et al 2001) and western spruce budworm (Campbell et al 2006) which use a non-host species to remove the influence of climate. Our method differed in that we were able to use same species as a control because canopy mortality events can be readily identified in the field.…”
Section: Data Collection and Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
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