Spatial variation of in-migration to Moscow: Testing the effect of housing market

Abstract

The collapse of state socialism and the introduction of market relationships in Central and Eastern Europe resulted in profound changes of urban development. Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe indicates that the development of a strong housing market and growing material inequalities contribute to the socio-economic polarization of city districts and residential segregation. Based on empirical data, we analyze spatial variation of migrants' first residential choices within Moscow, i.e. intensity of in-migration to a specific district. We test the theory-driven hypotheses about the association between residential choices and housing prices. Our results show that there are some areas that attract migrants of specific socio-economic status. However, housing prices do not explain a substantial share of variance in the intensities of in-migration, at least at the level of city districts; quite a strong association is only evident for foreign migrants. Thus, we find limited evidence of the Moscow' socio-spatial structure polarization due to the residential choices of migrants.

Selective migration of population in functional urban regions of Slovakia

“…Although disparate preferences for migration of various population subgroups are generally accepted across geographic community as a feature of urban development, only limited empirical research on this issue was conducted, mainly for the lack of reliable data. Some evidence from local or regional case studies, such as peri-urban region of Adelaide, Australia (Fisher, 2003), the region of Sofia, Bulgaria (Hirt, 2007) and Bratislava, Slovakia (Novotný & Pregi, 2017), suburban zone of Prague, Czechia (Ouředníček, 2007), the city of Moscow, Russia (Kashnitsky & Gunko, 2016), confirms selective character of migration and various migration patterns of specific population subgroups by age and education. Nevertheless, there is still no comprehensive research integrating and visualising selective migration of specific subgroups at intraregional and interregional levels in a nationwide scale.…”

“…Age, social status, educational attainment and in specific cases also ethnicity were identified as main factors determining individuals' migration preferences (García Coll & Stilwell, 1999;Kok & Kovács, 1999;Kontuly & Tammaru, 2006;Bailey & Livingston, 2007;Molloy, Smith, & Wozniak, 2011;Rérat, 2014;Kashnitsky & Gunko, 2016;Novotný & Pregi, 2017). This naturally causes diversity in spatial patterns of migration within individual population subgroups.…”

Yabancıların Konut Talebinin Türkiye’deki Bölgesel Konut Talebi Üzerine Etkisi: Mekânsal Ekonometrik Analiz

“…Bu sonuç, ABD'de incelenen dönem için konut talebinin artmasında toplam nüfus içindeki yabancı nüfus oranının önemli bir faktör olduğunu göstermektedir. Kashnitsky & Gunko (2016), çalışmalarında göçmenlerin Moskova'daki ilk konut seçimlerinin mekânsal varyasyonunu ve iç ve dış göçün konut fiyatları üzerine etkisini analiz etmişlerdir. Analizde poisson regresyon modelleri, varyans analizi ve mekânsal hiyerarşik ayrışma metodlarından yararlanmışlardır.…”

Housing Estates in Europe

“…The contribution of migration in shaping social structure at the level of city districts was researched in detail previously (Kashnitsky and Gunko 2016) based on migration data for 2012, and no update of this data was published since. Generally, the level of ethnic and social segregation of migrants in Moscow is quite low (Demintseva 2017; Kashnitsky and Gunko 2016). Migrants are able to settle in virtually any districts of the city due to the rich variation of their residential strategies (Demintseva 2017).…”