2010
DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2009.12.004
|View full text |Cite
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

Speculative bubbles in the S&P 500: Was the tech bubble confined to the tech sector?

Abstract: This study tests for the presence of periodically, partially collapsing speculative bubbles in the sector indices of the S&P 500 using a regime-switching approach. We also employ an augmented model that includes trading volume as a technical indicator to improve the ability of the model to time bubble collapses and to better capture the temporal variations in returns. We find that well over half of the S&P 500 index by market capitalization and seven of its ten sector component indices exhibited at least some … Show more

Help me understand this report

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
2
1
1
1

Citation Types

0
42
0
1

Year Published

2011
2011
2021
2021

Publication Types

Select...
5
2
1

Relationship

1
7

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 79 publications
(43 citation statements)
references
References 36 publications
0
42
0
1
Order By: Relevance
“…The literature on testing for the presence of bubbles in stock markets alone is extensive (see, for example, Anderson et al, 2010;Brooks and Katsaris, 2003, 2005a, 2005bDezhbakhsh and Demirguc-Kunt;1990;Donaldson and Kamstra, 1996, to name but a few), and the number of papers documenting bubble existence is considerably greater than those finding against. Pastor and Veronesi (2006), on the other hand, argue that the growth of technology stock prices in the 1990s was not necessarily caused by a bubble.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The literature on testing for the presence of bubbles in stock markets alone is extensive (see, for example, Anderson et al, 2010;Brooks and Katsaris, 2003, 2005a, 2005bDezhbakhsh and Demirguc-Kunt;1990;Donaldson and Kamstra, 1996, to name but a few), and the number of papers documenting bubble existence is considerably greater than those finding against. Pastor and Veronesi (2006), on the other hand, argue that the growth of technology stock prices in the 1990s was not necessarily caused by a bubble.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, virtually all existing work has focused on the ex post identification of evidence for or against bubbles at the aggregate stock market-wide level and at the industry level (see Anderson et al, 2010). This implies that there is significant scope for research at the company-specific level.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this regard the industry under consideration must be speciied. For this paper, it is the technology sector which is analysed and even though most of the researchers agree that the dot-com bubble occurred in that sector, others have also identiied spillover efects into other sectors such as inancial, general industrial and non-cyclical services as well [31].…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, there is a study showing that during the dot-com bubble inancial analysts were more optimistic about internet stocks [30]. Especially in such circumstances fundamental values start to become irrelevant to investors [31]. Also, it must be taken into account that even though there might be an asset price bubble, it can be necessary due to circumstances to ride that bubble instead of acting rationally against the majority of market participants [32].…”
Section: Explanations For the Occurrence Of Asset Price Bubblesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…El número cv:=[n-2B n (a)] es el a-iésimo percentil de la distribución binomial con parámetros (l, 1/2). S nt es el estadístico definido en la ecuación [4] en el periodo t, con p=1. Entonces, se puede fechar el comienzo de la burbuja para el intervalo como:…”
Section: íNdice De Burbujasunclassified