2013
DOI: 10.1126/science.1228729
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Speleothems Reveal 500,000-Year History of Siberian Permafrost

Abstract: Soils in permafrost regions contain twice as much carbon as the atmosphere, and permafrost has an important influence on the natural and built environment at high northern latitudes. The response of permafrost to warming climate is uncertain and occurs on time scales longer than those assessed by direct observation. We dated periods of speleothem growth in a north-south transect of caves in Siberia to reconstruct the history of permafrost in past climate states. Speleothem growth is restricted to full intergla… Show more

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Cited by 119 publications
(102 citation statements)
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“…Our results support the assertion that thaw of the $1.5 m of material overlying ice wedges occurred during the Holocene, as indicated by 14 C ages of <10 ka at depths of 1 m. Whether the shallow thawing developed in response to a warmer climate during the early Holocene or to repeated fire disturbance is uncertain. Nonetheless, our observed ( 234 U/ 238 U) values in deep yedoma cores suggest mean model ages up to $200 ka, consistent with other evidence of permafrost preservation for timescales on the order of $100 ka Vaks et al, 2013). Moreover, increasing DOC with depth in cores implies ongoing production of DOC from the surrounding organic matter over these timescales.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 85%
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“…Our results support the assertion that thaw of the $1.5 m of material overlying ice wedges occurred during the Holocene, as indicated by 14 C ages of <10 ka at depths of 1 m. Whether the shallow thawing developed in response to a warmer climate during the early Holocene or to repeated fire disturbance is uncertain. Nonetheless, our observed ( 234 U/ 238 U) values in deep yedoma cores suggest mean model ages up to $200 ka, consistent with other evidence of permafrost preservation for timescales on the order of $100 ka Vaks et al, 2013). Moreover, increasing DOC with depth in cores implies ongoing production of DOC from the surrounding organic matter over these timescales.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 85%
“…This is consistent with observations interpreted as long-term persistence of ground ice at the Palisades Bluff near Galena, Alaska (USA) and in the Yukon Territory (Canada) through the last large interglacial and highlights the potential resilience of yedoma (ice-and organic-rich loess permafrost) to climate change (Jorgenson et al, 2013b). In addition, recent work on speleothems suggests preservation of permafrost for >400 ka at similar latitudes in Siberia (Vaks et al, 2013). However, another 30-m-thick ice-rich loess permafrost deposit in northern Alaska dates only about 50 ka based on 14 C and thermo-luminescence dating (Kanevskiy et al, 2011).…”
Section: Age Model Applied To All Coressupporting
confidence: 80%
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“…5). Поскольку по климатическим сценариям в Арктике к концу XXI в. произойдёт повышение температуры воздуха на 7 ... 11 °C [34,35], следует ожидать значительного увеличения глубины оттаивания мерзлотных грунтов, что приведёт наряду с общим изменением водного баланса к резкому возрастанию солифлюкционных процессов.…”
Section: оползни и аномалии водной массыunclassified
“…Увеличение глобальной температуры на 0.5-1 °C приведет к деградации ареалов прерывистой и островной мерзлоты в Сибири, а потепление на ~1.5 °C вызовет существенное оттаивание зоны сплошной мерзлоты выше 60 °с.ш. [4]. Таяние мерзлоты сопровождается интенсификацией солифлюкции и тер-мокарстовых процессов, что повлияет на инфраструктуру промышленных объектов Сибири, включая нефтегазовые комплексы.…”
Section: Introductionunclassified