2018 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC) 2018
DOI: 10.1109/wsc.2018.8632256
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Subsampling Variance for Input Uncertainty Quantification

Abstract: In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the nonparametric setting, is commonly estimated via the bootstrap. However, due to the convolution of the simulation noise and the input noise, the bootstrap consists of a two-layer sampling and typically requires substantial simulation effort. This paper investigates a subsampling fr… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…The subsampling layer can reduce the computation while ensuring the extraction of good features in the training process [ 26 ]. Max-pooling is adopted to obtain the maximum value in the data neighborhood to replace the features of the network of the upper layer.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The subsampling layer can reduce the computation while ensuring the extraction of good features in the training process [ 26 ]. Max-pooling is adopted to obtain the maximum value in the data neighborhood to replace the features of the network of the upper layer.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A sensitivity measure that fully reflects the dependence of the random vector of inputs is useful in applications where the dependence structure of the inputs is of particular interest, as in risk management applications (Glasserman and Xu, 2014;Lam, 2017). The computational costs of evaluating importance measures is a persistent theme in the sensitivity analysis literature (Saltelli et al, 2008;Lam and Qian, 2018), given the need for costly evaluations of the (high dimensional, non-linear) model function at different simulated scenarios. We provide explicit analytical representations of the cascade sensitivity, which do not require calculation of the gradient of the aggregation function and allow for a straightforward implementation on a single…”
Section: For Illustration Of Those Points We Consider a Proprietary mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A sensitivity measure that fully reflects the dependence of the random vector of inputs is useful in applications where the dependence structure of the inputs is of particular interest, as in risk management applications (Glasserman and Xu, 2014;Lam, 2017). Challenges to practical application of sensitivity analysis methods include the incomplete specification of (black-box) models, as well as high computational costs (Saltelli et al, 2008;Lam and Qian, 2018). We demonstrate how the decomposition of cascade sensitivities can be calculated using only bivariate copula information.…”
Section: Introduction 1overview and Contributionmentioning
confidence: 99%