Supply Chain Resilience in Reality VUCA—An International Delphi Study

Abstract

The modern business world operates in the VUCA environment or reality; volatility and unpredictability are the only constants in it. It is challenging for entrepreneurs to predict the future, and the tested routines, proven habits, or the developed patterns of action no longer function properly, e.g., the logistic strategy of JIT does not fit the new rules of the business game and begins to be treated as a relic. From a business perspective, this new reality is profoundly changing how enterprises and supply chains operate, as well as how we approach supply chain resilience. As a result, we observe a picture of a highly volatile and unpredictable business environment in which vulnerable supply chains operate. The following research questions were asked in the paper: (1) What are the barriers to realizing the concept of Supply Chain Resilience in the reality of VUCA?; and (2) What can be the lead time for the Supply Chain Resilience in reality VUCA? The article presents the results of an expert study using the Delphi method. High-class experts from the scientific community were selected for the research. The results of the research allowed us to answer the research questions posed. Internal barriers to realizing a resilient supply chain in reality VUCA are listed. Based on the indications of experts, three scenarios have also been developed that relate to the speed of the expected lead time of a resilient supply chain, in fact, VUCA. Further research directions on the resilience of supply chains have also been marked out.

Defining supply chain resilience during wartime

“…Impact of russia-Ukraine war on logistics landscape: destruction of functional society that worked during various crises in Ukraine became very limited or completely inaccessible. It is important to analyze in the works the impact of the pandemic on the resilience of SCs [12][13][14][20][21] and the response in certain areas to this impact [15][16][17][18][19]. Although, during the pandemic and isolation, SCs underwent modifications but were not completely destroyed.…”

“…In addition to the above-mentioned issues, the growth of publication activity on the issue of SC resilience is due to the conditions of the Covid-19 pandemic, which questioned the established paradigms that did not work against the disruptions of SCs [12]. Pandemics pose a unique threat to SC because they are unpredictable, the consequences are delayed, and the spread can last for months or years [13]. Risk models and recovery of SCs indicate that during the pandemic, the time and sequence of recovery of online facilities at different levels and nodes of SCs have the greatest impact on the effectiveness of SC [3].…”

Future-Proofing Islamic Business: A Systematic Review of Strategic Foresight Implementation Using Vosviewer

“…One of the key advantages of strategic foresight for Islamic and overcome challenges (Portaleoni, 2013;Sacio-Szymańska, 2015).They emphasize the importance of future-oriented decisionmaking, scenario planning, and the integration of Islamic principles in strategic foresight processes (Nemeth, 2018;Pinto, 2020;Skulimowski, 2012). By incorporating these principles and practices, Islamic businesses can enhance their adaptability, resilience, and longterm sustainability in the face of VUCA challenges (Grzybowska, 2022;Wang, 2022).…”

VUCA Factors Influencing Stakeholder Relationship Management Development: A Systematic Literature Review

“…Manufacturing industries are faced with an increasing demand for systemic approaches to tackle the complexities and uncertainties they face (Hoeft, 2021;Nowacka and Rzemieniak, 2022;Datta et Joshi, 2023). By embracing systemic thinking, these industries are able to gain a comprehensive understanding of their supply chains (Lechler et al, 2019;Grzybowska and Tubis, 2022), operational processes (Sharif and Irani, 2017;Laurin, 2018), and interdependencies across the organization. By adopting systemic approaches, they can proactively identify potential risks, optimize workflows, and implement agile strategies that enable them to thrive amidst constant changes and disruptions in their competitive landscapes.…”